The future of European-Chinese raw material supply chains: Three scenarios for 2030 and their implications

Inga Carry, Nadine Godehardt and Melanie Müller

No 27/2023, SWP Comments from Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), German Institute for International and Security Affairs

Abstract: When it comes to being supplied with raw materials, Europe faces a number of challenges. These include the diversification of European supply chains, the implementation of effective sustainability standards, and the reduction of strategic dependencies on China. What will European-Chinese raw material supply chains look like in 2030? This paper outlines three possible scenarios, illustrating the combined effects of different political and socio-economic developments and the impact they could have on European-Chinese supply chains. It aims to help political actors gain a deeper understanding of possible future trajectories and map out appropriate policy strategies in response to different scenarios.

Keywords: raw materials; diversification of European supply chains; effective sustainability standards; reduction of strategic dependencies on China; Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:swpcom:272023

DOI: 10.18449/2023C27

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