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Towards Expenditure Rules and Fiscal Sanity in the Euro Area

Ludger Schuknecht, Sebastian Hauptmeier and Antonio Jesus Sanchez Fuentes ()

VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis from Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association

Abstract: The study looks at primary expenditure developments in the euro area, its three largest members and four “macro-imbalances” countries for the period 1999- 2009. It compares actual expenditure trends with those that would have prevailed if countries had followed neutral policies based on expenditure rules since the start of EMU. It also calculates the implications for debt trends. It finds that, all sample countries except Germany applied expansionary expenditure policies. This resulted in much higher expenditure and debt paths compared to a counterfactual neutral expenditure stance. Simple and prudent rules-based spending policies could have led to much safer fiscal positions much more in line with the EU’s Stability and Growth Pact rules.

Keywords: Expenditure policies; public debt; expenditure rules; sustainability; fiscal stance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A10 A11 B22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (35)

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https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/48693/1/VfS_2011_pid_87.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Towards expenditure rules and fiscal sanity in the euro area (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: Towards expenditure rules and fiscal sanity in the euro area (2010) Downloads
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