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A Mechanism for Booms and Busts in Housing Prices

Marten Hillebrand and Tomoo Kikuchi

VfS Annual Conference 2012 (Goettingen): New Approaches and Challenges for the Labor Market of the 21st Century from Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association

Abstract: We study an exchange economy with overlapping generations of consumers who derive utility from consuming a non-durable commodity and housing. A banking sector offers loans to finance housing. We provide a complete characterization of the equilibrium dynamics which alternates between an expansive regime where housing prices increase and banks expand loans and a contractive regime associated with decreasing housing values and shrinking credit volume. Regime switches occur even under small but persistent income changes giving rise to large booms and busts in housing prices not reflecting changes in fundamentals.

JEL-codes: C62 E32 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-dge and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: A mechanism for booms and busts in housing prices (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: A mechanism for booms and busts in housing prices (2012) Downloads
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