Determining global currency bloc equilibria

Christoph Fischer

VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy from Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association

Abstract: The study presents an empirical strategy for determining global currency bloc equilibria. The procedure includes, first, a nested logit estimation of the combined determinants of currency regime and anchor currency choice; second, a test for a welfare-maximising regime decision, in which estimates of the relative welfare of alternative regimes are inferred from the results of the first step estimation; third, taking the path dependency of regime choice into account, a currency bloc equilibrium is derived. In equilibrium, the dollar bloc is somewhat smaller and the euro bloc larger than at present. Counterfactual exercises assess among others the potential for a renminbi bloc.

JEL-codes: F02 F31 F33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dcm and nep-mon
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:vfsc15:113197

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