Get Training or Wait? Long-Run Employment Effects of Training Programs for the Unemployed in West Germany

Robert Völter, Aderonke Osikominu and Bernd Fitzenberger

ZEW Discussion Papers from ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

Abstract: Long-term public sector sponsored training programs often show little or negative short-run employment effects and often it is not possible to assess whether positive long-run effects exist. Based on unique administrative data, this paper estimates the long-run differential employment effects of three different types of training programs in West Germany. We use inflows into unemployment for the years 1986/87 and 1993/94 and apply local linear matching based on the estimated propensity score to estimate the effects of training programs starting during 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 8 quarters of unemployment. The results show a negative lock-in effect for the period right after the beginning of the program and significantly positive treatment effects on employment rates in the medium- and long-run. The differential effects of the three programs compared to one another are mainly driven by differences in the length of the lock-in periods.

Keywords: multiple treatments; training programs; employment effects; local linear matching; administrative data; active labor market programs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 H43 J68 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-lab
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (31)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Get Training or Wait? Long-Run Employment Effects of Training Programs for the Unemployed in West Germany (2008)
Working Paper: Get training or wait?: long-run employment effects of training programs for the unemployed in West Germany (2006)
Working Paper: Get Training or Wait? Long-Run Employment Effects of Training Programs for the Unemployed in West Germany (2006)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:zewdip:6885

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