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What Explains the Spread Between the Euro Overnight Rate and the ECB's Policy Rate?

Tobias Linzert and Sandra Schmidt

No 07-076, ZEW Discussion Papers from ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

Abstract: In this paper we employ a time series econometric framework to explore the structural determinants of the spread between the euro overnight rate and the ECB?s policy rate (EONIA spread) aiming to explain the widening of the EONIA spread in the period from mid-2004 to mid-2006. We mainly estimate a model of the EONIA spread from March 2004 until August 2006. The analysis identifies possible driving forces underlying the evolution of the spread over time and aims to quantify the impact of specific factors on the observed upward shift. We show that the increase in the EONIA spread can for the largest part be explained by the current liquidity deficit. Moreover, tight liquidity conditions as well as an increase in banks? uncertainty about the liquidity conditions lead to a significant upward pressure on the spread. ECB?s liquidity policy only has a significant impact on the reduction of the spread if a loose policy is conducted during the last week of an MRO. Interestingly, interest rate expectations have not been found to have an important influence.

Keywords: Overnight Market Rate (EONIA); Interest Rate Determination; Monetary Policy Implementation; Operational Framework (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E43 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-eec, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:zewdip:6896

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