Loss Aversion? Not with Half-a-Million on the Table!
Pavlo Blavatskyy and
Ganna Pogrebna
No 274, IEW - Working Papers from Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich
Abstract:
In the television show Affari Tuoi a contestant is endowed with a sealed box containing a monetary prize between one cent and half a million euros. In the course of the show the contestant is offered to exchange her box for another sealed box with the same distribution of possible monetary prizes inside. This offers a unique natural laboratory for testing the predictions of expected utility theory versus prospect theory using lotteries with large stakes. While expected utility theory predicts that an individual is exactly indifferent between accepting and rejecting the exchange offer, prospect theory predicts that an individual should always reject the exchange offer due to the assumption of loss aversion. We find that the assumption of loss aversion is violated by 46 percent of all contestants in our recorded sample. Thus, contestants do not appear to be predominantly loss averse when dealing with lotteries involving large stakes.
Keywords: loss aversion; expected utility theory; prospect theory; natural experiment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C93 D81 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-exp and nep-upt
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zur:iewwpx:274
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