High on Complexity, Low on Evidence: Are Advanced Forecasting Methods Always as Good as They Seem?

Paul Goodwin

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2011, issue 23, 10-12

Abstract: Goodwin covers the pros and cons of complexity in advanced forecasting methods and warns that recommendations based on them should be supported by strong evidence of reliability. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2011

Date: 2011
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