Volatility Spillovers in East Asian Financial Markets: A Mem-Based Approach
Robert F. Engle,
Giampiero M. Gallo () and
Margherita Velucchi ()
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2012, vol. 94, issue 1, pages 222-223
We model the interrelations of equity market volatility in eight East Asian countries before, during, and after the Asian currency crisis. Using a new class of asymmetric volatility multiplicative error models based on the daily range, we find that dynamic propagation of volatility shocks occurs through a network of interdependencies, and shocks originating in Hong Kong may be amplified in their transmission throughout the system, posing greater risks to the region than shocks originating elsewhere. Although this partly explains the severity of the currency crisis, we also find evidence that parameters shifted, making the system more unstable during the crisis. © 2011 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
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