Details about Michael K. Adjemian

Access statistics for papers by Michael K. Adjemian.

Last updated 2024-05-07. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pad81

Working Papers

2022

1. Recent Surges in Ocean Transportation Rates and Their Effects on Selected Ag Markets
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2022, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum

2021

2. Canary in the Coal Mine? COVID-19 and Soybean Futures Market Liquidity
   2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
3. Crop Insurance, Futures Prices, and Commercial Trader Positions in Agricultural Futures Markets
   2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
4. Have Biofuel Policies More Closely Linked Energy and Livestock Markets?
   2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

2020

5. The 2019 Government Shutdown Increased Uncertainty in Major Agricultural Commodity Markets
   2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
   See also Journal Article The 2019 government shutdown increased uncertainty in major agricultural commodity markets, Food Policy, Elsevier (2021) View citations (6) (2021)

2019

6. Estimating the Market Effect of a Trade War: The Case of Soybean Tariffs
   2019 Annual Meeting, July 21-23, Atlanta, Georgia, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (5)
   See also Journal Article Estimating the market effect of a trade war: The case of soybean tariffs, Food Policy, Elsevier (2021) View citations (18) (2021)

2017

7. Not Lost in Translation: The Impact of USDA Reports on International Corn Markets
   2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)
8. Price Determination and Margin Volatility in Thinly Traded Commodity Markets: An Application to Major U.S. Field Crops
   2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
9. What Drives Volatility Expectations in Grain and Oilseed Markets?
   2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)

2016

10. Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era
    2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Are USDA reports still news to changing crop markets?, Food Policy, Elsevier (2019) View citations (12) (2019)
11. Decomposing Local Prices into Hedgeable and Unhedgeable Shocks
    2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)
12. Estimating the Location of World Wheat Price Determination
    2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)
13. Estimating the Location of World Wheat Price Discovery
    2017 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 6-8, 2017, Chicago, Illinois, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article Estimating the Location of World Wheat Price Discovery, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2017) View citations (29) (2017)
14. Forward‐Looking USDA Price Forecasts
    2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (2)
15. The U.S. Role in the Price Determination of Major Agricultural Commodities
    2017 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 6-8, 2017, Chicago, Illinois, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
    Also in 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2016)
16. The Value of Government Information in an Era of Declining Budgets
    2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
17. Thinning Markets in U.S. Agriculture
    Economic Information Bulletin, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (11)

2014

18. Deconstructing Wheat Price Spikes: A Model of Supply and Demand, Financial Speculation, and Commodity Price Comovement
    Economic Research Report, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (9)

2013

19. Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies
    Economic Information Bulletin, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (18)

2012

20. A Short-run Demand Flexibility System for U.S. Agricultural Commodities
    2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
21. Alcohol Consumption and Food-at-Home Dietary Quality in the United States
    2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (3)

2010

22. The Inconvenience Cost: A Portfolio Approach to Non-Convergence Between Cash and Futures Prices
    2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

2009

23. Estimating Spatial Interdependence in Automobile Type Choice With Survey Data
    Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Estimating spatial interdependence in automobile type choice with survey data, Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier (2010) View citations (22) (2010)

Journal Articles

2023

1. Decomposing USDA Ending Stocks Forecast Errors
   Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2023, 48, (2)
2. Hedging with futures during nonconvergence in commodity markets
   Journal of Commodity Markets, 2023, 32, (C)
3. Information rigidities in USDA crop production forecasts
   American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2023, 105, (5), 1405-1425 View citations (1)

2022

4. Characterizing implied volatility functions from agricultural options markets
   American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2022, 104, (5), 1605-1624 View citations (5)
5. The impact of futures contract storage rate policy on convergence expectations in domestic commodity markets
   Food Policy, 2022, 111, (C) View citations (3)

2021

6. Estimating the market effect of a trade war: The case of soybean tariffs
   Food Policy, 2021, 105, (C) View citations (18)
   See also Working Paper Estimating the Market Effect of a Trade War: The Case of Soybean Tariffs, 2019 Annual Meeting, July 21-23, Atlanta, Georgia (2019) View citations (5) (2019)
7. Not All Thin Markets Are Alike: The Case of Organic and Non‐genetically Engineered Corn and Soybeans
   Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2021, 72, (1), 117-133 View citations (4)
8. The 2019 government shutdown increased uncertainty in major agricultural commodity markets
   Food Policy, 2021, 102, (C) View citations (6)
   See also Working Paper The 2019 Government Shutdown Increased Uncertainty in Major Agricultural Commodity Markets, 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri (2020) (2020)
9. When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?
   Journal of Commodity Markets, 2021, 22, (C) View citations (6)

2020

10. A Wavelet Analysis of Price Integration in Major Agricultural Markets
    Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 2020, 52, (1), 117-134 View citations (3)
11. Incorporating Uncertainty into USDA Commodity Price Forecasts
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2020, 102, (2), 696-712 View citations (6)
12. The market response to government crop news under different release regimes
    Journal of Commodity Markets, 2020, 19, (C) View citations (2)

2019

13. Are USDA reports still news to changing crop markets?
    Food Policy, 2019, 84, (C), 66-76 View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era, 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts (2016) View citations (2) (2016)
14. Market Reaction to USDA’s August Corn Crop Reports
    farmdoc daily, 2019, 09, (186) View citations (2)
15. Tariff Retaliation Weakened the U.S. Soybean Basis
    Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, 2019, 34, (4) View citations (5)

2018

16. USDA Announcement Effects in Real-Time
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2018, 100, (4), 1151-1171 View citations (17)
17. Was the Missing 2013 WASDE Missed?
    Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 2018, 40, (4), 653-671 View citations (6)

2017

18. Estimating the Location of World Wheat Price Discovery
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2017, 99, (5), 1188-1207 View citations (29)
    See also Working Paper Estimating the Location of World Wheat Price Discovery, 2017 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 6-8, 2017, Chicago, Illinois (2016) View citations (8) (2016)
19. Wheat Price Discovery Remains Concentrated in the United States, but Shifting to Europe
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2017, (09)

2016

20. A Framework to Analyze the Performance of Thinly Traded Agricultural Commodity Markets
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2016, 98, (2), 581-596 View citations (18)
21. Beer-Purchasing Behavior, Dietary Quality, and Health Outcomes among U.S. Adults*
    Journal of Wine Economics, 2016, 11, (3), 436-464 View citations (1)
22. Thin Markets Raise Concerns, But Many Are Capable of Paying Producers Fair Prices
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2016, (02), 1

2014

23. Wheat Prices Driven By Supply and Demand, Not Speculators
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2014, (05), 1

2013

24. Solving the Commodity Markets' Non-Convergence Puzzle
    farmdoc daily, 2013, 03
    Also in Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2013, (07), 1 (2013)

2012

25. Emergence and Impact of USDA’s WASDE Report
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2012, (02), 8 View citations (1)
26. Quantifying the WASDE Announcement Effect
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2012, 94, (1), 238-256 View citations (52)
27. Using USDA Forecasts to Estimate the Price Flexibility of Demand for Agricultural Commodities
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2012, 94, (4), 978-995 View citations (28)

2010

28. Estimating spatial interdependence in automobile type choice with survey data
    Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2010, 44, (9), 661-675 View citations (22)
    See also Working Paper Estimating Spatial Interdependence in Automobile Type Choice With Survey Data, Working Papers (2009) View citations (3) (2009)

2009

29. Using census aggregates to proxy for household characteristics: an application to vehicle ownership
    Transportation, 2009, 36, (2), 223-241 View citations (3)