Details about Janine Aron

E-mail:
Homepage:	http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/Faculty/EconDetails.asp?Detailno=4
Phone:	44-1865-271084
Postal address:	Centre for the Study of African Economics Department of Economies Manor Road Building Manor Road Oxford OX1 3UQ
Workplace:	Department of Economics, Oxford University, (more information at EDIRC) Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), Department of Economics, Oxford University, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Janine Aron.

Last updated 2022-07-28. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

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Working Papers

2021

1. Excess mortality versus COVID-19 death rates: a spatial analysis of socioeconomic disparities and political allegiance across US states
   Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics
   Also in INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford (2021)
   See also Journal Article in Review of Income and Wealth (2022)

2020

2. Measuring excess mortality: the case of England during the Covid-19 Pandemic
   INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford View citations (5)
3. Transatlantic excess mortality comparisons in the pandemic
   INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford View citations (1)
   Also in OSF Preprints, Center for Open Science (2020) View citations (3)

2017

4. 'Leapfrogging': a Survey of the Nature and Economic Implications of Mobile Money
   INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford View citations (3)
   Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2017) View citations (14)

2016

5. Modelling and Forecasting Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure in the UK
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (39)
   Also in Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2016) View citations (39)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Urban Economics (2016)

2015

6. Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (9)
   Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2015) View citations (9)

2013

7. Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (6)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Development Studies (2014)

2012

8. Exchange Rate Passthrough to Import Prices and Monetary Policy in South Africa
   Working Papers, South African Reserve Bank View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Development Studies (2014)
9. Wealth, Credit Conditions and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (4)
   Also in Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (6)
   See also Journal Article in Review of Income and Wealth (2013)

2011

10. Modelling and Forecasting with County Court Data: Regional Mortgage Possession Claims and Orders in England and Wales
    SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (7)
    Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2011) View citations (7)

2010

11. Credit, Housing Collateral and Consumption: Evidence from the UK, Japan and the US
    Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (20)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2010) View citations (9)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (46)
12. Does aggregating forecasts by CPI component improve inflation forecast accuracy in South Africa?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
13. Exchange Rate Pass-through and Monetary Policy in South Africa
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (2)
14. Modelling and Forecasting UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions
    SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (19)
    Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2010) View citations (18)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (20)
    Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2010) View citations (20)
15. New methods for forecasting inflation, applied to the US
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (2013)

2009

16. Some Issues in Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in South Africa
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009)

2008

17. Monetary Policy and Inflation Modeling in a More Open Economy in South Africa
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (3)
    Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2008)
    See also Chapter (2009)
18. Multi-sector inflation forecasting - quarterly models for South Africa
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (3)
19. New methods for forecasting inflation and its sub-components: application to the USA
    Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (6)

2007

20. Balance Sheet Estimates for South Africas Household Sector from 1975 to 2005
    Working Papers, South African Reserve Bank View citations (3)
21. Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of African Economies (2007)
22. Housing Wealth, Credit Conditions and Consumption
    ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES) View citations (9)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2006) View citations (41)
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2006) View citations (42)
23. Inflation Dynamics and Trade Openness
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (15)
24. Inflation dynamics and trade openness: with an application to South Africa
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (11)

2006

25. Estimating the Balance Sheet of the Personal Sector in an Emerging Market Country: South Africa 1975-2003
    WIDER Working Paper Series, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER) View citations (3)
26. Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa since 1994
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of African Economies (2007)
27. Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa: 1994-2004
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
28. Towards Official Balance Sheet Estimates for South Africa’s Household Sector
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford

2004

29. A Framework for Forecasting the Components of the Consumer Price
    Development and Comp Systems, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (4)
30. A Framework for Forecasting the Components of the Consumer Price Index: application to South Africa
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (3)
31. A Structural Model of the Inflation Process in South Africa
    Development and Comp Systems, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (9)
    Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2004) View citations (14)
32. Construction of CPIX Data for Forecasting and Modelling in South Africa
    Development and Comp Systems, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (14)
    Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2004) View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article in South African Journal of Economics (2004)
33. Estimates of Personal Sector Wealth for South Africa
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (4)
    Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (1999) View citations (9)
34. Revised Estimates of Personal Sector Wealth for South Africa
    Development and Comp Systems, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (2)
    Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2004) View citations (2)

2002

35. Building Institutions in Post-Conflict African Economies
    WIDER Working Paper Series, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Development (2003)
36. Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (46)
    Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2002) View citations (38)
    See also Journal Article in IMF Staff Papers (2002)

2001

37. Estimating monetary policy rules for South Africa
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (4)
    Also in Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2000) View citations (10)
    See also Chapter (2002)

2000

38. Financial liberalisation, consumption and debt in South Africa
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (19)
39. Inflation and output forecasts for South Africa: monetary transmission implications
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (13)
40. Monetary Transmission and Policy Rules in South Africa
    Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society View citations (3)
41. Personal and Corporate Saving in South Africa
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (36)
    Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2000) View citations (33)
    See also Journal Article in The World Bank Economic Review (2000)

1999

42. A recent history of Zambia's management of copper price shocks
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (4)
43. Reflections on the South African rand crisis of 1996 and its consequences
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (9)

1998

44. Determinants of the real exchange rate in South Africa
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (19)
45. Efficiency tests in sub-Saharan African foreign exchange markets
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford
46. Policy rules and bidding behaviour in the Ethiopian foreign exchange auction
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford
    See also Journal Article in Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review (1998)
47. Political, economic and social institutions: A review of growth evidence
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (9)

1997

48. Africa in the 1990s: the institutional foundations of growth
    CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (1)

1994

49. A typology of foreign auction markets in sub-Saharan Africa
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank
50. A typology of foreign exchange auction markets in sub-Saharan Africa: dynamic models for auction exchange rates
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank

1992

51. Parallel markets, the foreign exchange auction, and exchange rate unification in Zambia
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (19)

Journal Articles

2022

1. Excess Mortality Versus COVID‐19 Death Rates: A Spatial Analysis of Socioeconomic Disparities and Political Allegiance Across U.S. States
   Review of Income and Wealth, 2022, 68, (2), 348-392
   See also Working Paper (2021)

2018

2. Mobile Money and the Economy: A Review of the Evidence
   The World Bank Research Observer, 2018, 33, (2), 135-188 View citations (34)

2016

3. Modelling and forecasting mortgage delinquency and foreclosure in the UK
   Journal of Urban Economics, 2016, 94, (C), 32-53 View citations (38)
   See also Working Paper (2016)

2014

4. Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Developing and Emerging Markets: A Survey of Conceptual, Methodological and Policy Issues, and Selected Empirical Findings
   Journal of Development Studies, 2014, 50, (1), 101-143 View citations (58)
5. Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data
   Journal of Development Studies, 2014, 50, (1), 165-185 View citations (15)
   See also Working Paper (2013)
6. Exchange Rate Pass-through to Import Prices, and Monetary Policy in South Africa
   Journal of Development Studies, 2014, 50, (1), 144-164 View citations (27)
   See also Working Paper (2012)
7. Introduction to a Special Section on 'Exchange Rate Pass-through in Developing and Emerging Markets'
   Journal of Development Studies, 2014, 50, (1), 97-100 View citations (9)

2013

8. New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US
   Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2013, 75, (5), 637-661 View citations (17)
   See also Working Paper (2010)
9. Wealth, Credit Conditions, and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa
   Review of Income and Wealth, 2013, 59, S161-S196 View citations (25)
   See also Working Paper (2012)

2012

10. CREDIT, HOUSING COLLATERAL, AND CONSUMPTION: EVIDENCE FROM JAPAN, THE U.K., AND THE U.S
    Review of Income and Wealth, 2012, 58, (3), 397-423 View citations (97)
11. Improving forecasting in an emerging economy, South Africa: Changing trends, long run restrictions and disaggregation
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2012, 28, (2), 456-476 View citations (20)

2009

12. A STOCHASTIC ESTIMATION FRAMEWORK FOR COMPONENTS OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
    South African Journal of Economics, 2009, 77, (2), 282-313 View citations (3)

2008

13. The Next Collapse: U.S. Price Inflation
    The Economists' Voice, 2008, 5, (6), 1-4

2007

14. Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa
    Journal of African Economies, 2007, 16, (5), 745-781 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
15. Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa since 1994
    Journal of African Economies, 2007, 16, (5), 705-744 View citations (40)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
16. South African Economic Policy Under Democracy
    Journal of African Economies, 2007, 16, (5), 661-667 View citations (11)

2006

17. ESTIMATES OF HOUSEHOLD SECTOR WEALTH FOR SOUTH AFRICA, 1970–2003
    Review of Income and Wealth, 2006, 52, (2), 285-307 View citations (16)

2005

18. Monetary Policy, Macro-stability and Growth
    World Economics, 2005, 6, (4), 123-147 View citations (7)

2004

19. CONSTRUCTION OF CPIX DATA FOR FORECASTING AND MODELLING IN SOUTH AFRICA*
    South African Journal of Economics, 2004, 72, (5), 884-912 View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper (2004)

2003

20. Building institutions in post-conflict African economies
    Journal of International Development, 2003, 15, (4), 471-485 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2002

21. Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa
    IMF Staff Papers, 2002, 49, (Special issue), 185-213 View citations (44)
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2000

22. Growth and Institutions: A Review of the Evidence
    The World Bank Research Observer, 2000, 15, (1), 99-135 View citations (270)
23. Personal and Corporate Saving in South Africa
    The World Bank Economic Review, 2000, 14, (3), 509-544 View citations (35)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

1998

24. Policy Rules and Bidding Behavior in the Ethiopian Foreign Exchange Auction
    Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, 1998, 13, (1), 213-248
    See also Working Paper (1998)

1997

25. Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency Tests in Sub-Saharan Africa
    Journal of African Economies, 1997, 6, (3), 150-92 View citations (6)

Edited books

2009

1. South African Economic Policy under Democracy
   OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press View citations (15)

Chapters

2009

1. Monetary Policy and Inflation Modeling in a More Open Economy in South Africa
   Chapter 15 in Monetary Policy Frameworks for Emerging Markets, 2009 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper (2008)

2002

2. Estimating Monetary Policy Rules for South Africa
   Chapter 15 in Monetary Policy: Rules and Transmission Mechanisms, 2002, vol. 4, pp 427-476 View citations (12)
   See also Working Paper (2001)

1997

3. The Parallel Market Premium and Exchange Rate Unification: a Macroeconomic Analysis for Zambia
   Palgrave Macmillan