Details about John Carlson

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Short-id: pca402

Working Papers

2013

1. Do public pension obligations affect state funding costs?
   Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (1)

2007

2. Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Volatility Trade-off
   University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department
   Also in Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2004) View citations (1)
   2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2006) View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention and the Volatility Trade-off, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2009) View citations (21) (2009)

2006

3. Adaptive Learning, Endogenous Inattention, and Changes in Monetary Policy
   University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department
   Also in Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2006) View citations (3)

2005

4. Recovering market expectations of FOMC rate changes with options on federal funds futures
   Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (17)
   See also Journal Article Recovering market expectations of FOMC rate changes with options on federal funds futures, Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2005) View citations (11) (2005)

2004

5. Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Output-Inflation Variance Tradeoff
   Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics View citations (1)

2001

6. Will the valuation ratios revert to their historical means? Some evidence from breakpoint tests
   Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (8)

1999

7. Results of a study of the stability of cointegrating relations comprised of broad monetary aggregates
   Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (17)
   See also Journal Article Results of a study of the stability of cointegrating relations comprised of broad monetary aggregates, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2000) View citations (66) (2000)

1995

8. Some Monte Carlo results on nonparametric changepoint tests
   Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (1)

Journal Articles

2014

1. New Rules for Credit Default Swap Trading: Can We Now Follow the Risk?
   Economic Commentary, 2014, (June) View citations (4)

2012

2. Public pensions under stress
   Forefront, 2012, (Spring), 41 p. View citations (2)

2010

3. W(h)ither the Fed’s balance sheet?
   Economic Commentary, 2010, 2010, (08)

2009

4. Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention and the Volatility Trade-off
   Economic Journal, 2009, 119, (534), 123-157 View citations (21)
   See also Working Paper Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Volatility Trade-off, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2007) (2007)

2006

5. FOMC communications and the predictability of near-term policy decisions
   Economic Commentary, 2006, (Jun) View citations (19)

2005

6. Recovering market expectations of FOMC rate changes with options on federal funds futures
   Journal of Futures Markets, 2005, 25, (12), 1203-1242 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper Recovering market expectations of FOMC rate changes with options on federal funds futures, Working Papers (Old Series) (2005) View citations (17) (2005)

2004

7. Mutual funds, fee transparency, and competition
   Economic Commentary, 2004, (Mar)

2003

8. An option for anticipating Fed action
   Economic Commentary, 2003, (Sep) View citations (5)
9. Measures of corporate earnings: what number is best?
   Economic Commentary, 2003, (Feb)

2002

10. Why the optimism?
    Economic Commentary, 2002, (Apr)

2001

11. A retrospective on the stock market in 2000
    Economic Commentary, 2001, (Jan)
12. Why is the dividend yield so low?
    Economic Commentary, 2001, (Apr) View citations (2)

2000

13. Investor expectations and fundamentals: disappointment ahead?
    Economic Commentary, 2000, (May) View citations (2)
14. Money, Monetary Policy, and Central Banking
    Journal of Financial Services Research, 2000, 18, (2), 241-253
15. Results of a study of the stability of cointegrating relations comprised of broad monetary aggregates
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2000, 46, (2), 345-383 View citations (66)
    See also Working Paper Results of a study of the stability of cointegrating relations comprised of broad monetary aggregates, Working Papers (Old Series) (1999) View citations (17) (1999)
16. Structural uncertainty and breakpoint tests: an application to equilibrium velocity1
    Journal of Economics and Business, 2000, 52, (1-2), 101-115 View citations (12)

1999

17. Effects of movements in equities prices on M2 demand
    Economic Review, 1999, (Q IV), 2-9 View citations (8)
18. The recent ascent in stock prices: how exuberant are you?
    Economic Commentary, 1999, (Aug) View citations (3)
    Also in The Region, 1999, 13, (Dec), 8-11, 47 (1999) View citations (3)

1998

19. Productivity measures and the \\"new economy\\"
    Economic Commentary, 1998, (Jun) View citations (1)

1997

20. Accelerating money growth: is M2 telling us something?
    Economic Commentary, 1997, (Nov)
21. Maintaining a low inflation environment
    Economic Commentary, 1997, (Mar)
22. The recent ascent of stock prices: can it be explained by earnings growth or other fundamentals?
    Economic Review, 1997, (Q II), 2-12 View citations (14)

1996

23. MZM: a monetary aggregate for the 1990s?
    Economic Review, 1996, (Q II), 15-23 View citations (9)
24. Where is all the U.S. currency hiding?
    Economic Commentary, 1996, (Apr) View citations (1)

1995

25. Federal funds futures as an indicator of future monetary policy: a primer
    Economic Review, 1995, (Q I), 20-30 View citations (35)
26. M2 growth in 1995: a return to normalcy?
    Economic Commentary, 1995, (Dec) View citations (1)
27. Monetary policy and the federal funds futures market
    Economic Commentary, 1995, (Jul)

1994

28. Assessing progress toward price stability: looking forward and looking backward
    Economic Commentary, 1994, (May) View citations (2)
29. Monetary policy and inflation: 1993 in perspective
    Economic Commentary, 1994, (Jan)
30. On disinflation since 1982: an application of change-point tests
    Economic Review, 1994, 30, (Q I), 31-42

1993

31. Assessing real interest rates
    Economic Commentary, 1993, (Aug) View citations (4)

1992

32. Recent behavior of velocity: alternative measures of money
    Economic Review, 1992, 28, (Q I), 2-10 View citations (11)
33. The M2 slowdown and depository intermediation: implications for monetary policy
    Economic Commentary, 1992, (Sep) View citations (1)

1991

34. Deregulation, money, and the economy
    Economic Commentary, 1991, (Mar)
35. The demand for M2, opportunity cost, and financial change
    Economic Review, 1991, 27, (Q II), 2-11 View citations (12)
36. Understanding the recent behavior of M2
    Economic Commentary, 1991, (Jun)

1990

37. The short-run dynamics of long-run inflation policy
    Economic Review, 1990, 26, (Q III), 26-35 View citations (1)

1989

38. Money and velocity in the 1980s
    Economic Commentary, 1989, (Jan)
39. The indicator P-star: just what does it indicate?
    Economic Commentary, 1989, (Sep) View citations (2)
40. The stability of money demand, its interest sensitivity, and some implications for money as a policy guide
    Economic Review, 1989, 25, (Q III), 2-13 View citations (3)

1988

41. Rules versus discretion: making a monetary rule operational
    Economic Review, 1988, 24, (Q III), 2-13 View citations (3)

1987

42. Does dollar depreciation matter: the case of auto imports from Japan
    Economic Commentary, 1987, (May)
43. Learning rationality, the stability of equilibrium and macroeconomics
    Economic Review, 1987, (Q IV), 2-12
44. U.S. dependence on foreign saving
    Economic Commentary, 1987, (Sep)

1986

45. Debt growth and the financial system
    Economic Commentary, 1986, (Oct)
46. Domestic nonfinancial debt: after three years of monitoring
    Economic Commentary, 1986, (Jul)

1985

47. The debt burden: what you don't see
    Economic Commentary, 1985, (May)
48. The dynamics of federal debt
    Economic Commentary, 1985, (Jul)
49. The national debt: a secular perspective
    Economic Review, 1985, (Q III), 11-24

1984

50. Nominal income targeting
    Economic Commentary, 1984, (May) View citations (1)

1982

51. Methods of cash management
    Economic Commentary, 1982, (Apr)
52. The problem of seasonally adjusted money
    Economic Commentary, 1982, (May)