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Details about Wagner Piazza Gaglianone

E-mail:
Homepage:https://sites.google.com/view/wagner-pg
Workplace:Banco Central do Brasil (Central Bank of Brazil), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Wagner Piazza Gaglianone.

Last updated 2024-06-11. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pga306


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Working Papers

2023

  1. Anchoring Long-term VAR Forecasts Based On Survey Data and State-space Models
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads
  2. Predicting Recessions in (almost) Real Time in a Big-data Setting
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads

2022

  1. Machine Learning Methods for Inflation Forecasting in Brazil: new contenders versus classical models
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Machine learning methods for inflation forecasting in Brazil: New contenders versus classical models, Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier (2023) Downloads View citations (9) (2023)

2021

  1. Impacts of the Monetary Policy Committee Decisions on the Foreign Exchange Rate in Brazil
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads
  2. Machine Learning and Oil Price Point and Density Forecasting
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Journal Article Machine learning and oil price point and density forecasting, Energy Economics, Elsevier (2021) Downloads View citations (5) (2021)

2020

  1. Commodity Prices and Global Economic Activity: a derived-demand approach
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach, Energy Economics, Elsevier (2021) Downloads View citations (10) (2021)

2019

  1. Expectations Anchoring Indexes for Brazil using Kalman Filter: exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Expectations anchoring indexes for Brazil using Kalman filter: Exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term, International Economics, Elsevier (2020) Downloads View citations (5) (2020)
  2. Incentive-driven Inattention
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil) (2019) Downloads View citations (3)
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department (2018) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article Incentive-driven inattention, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2022) Downloads View citations (4) (2022)
  3. Microfounded forecasting
    FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil) Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil) (2015) Downloads View citations (4)
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department (2014) Downloads View citations (1)

2017

  1. Empirical Findings on Inflation Expectations in Brazil: a survey
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Estimating the Credibility of Brazilian Monetary Policy using Forward Measures and a State-Space Model
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads View citations (6)
  3. Financial Conditions Indicator for Brazil
    IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department (2016) Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Predicting Exchange Rate Volatility in Brazil: an approach using quantile autoregression
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads View citations (1)

2016

  1. Applying a Microfounded-Forecasting Approach to Predict Brazilian Inflation
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation, Empirical Economics, Springer (2017) Downloads View citations (1) (2017)
  2. Evaluation of Exchange Rate Point and Density Forecasts: an application to Brazil
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article Evaluation of exchange rate point and density forecasts: An application to Brazil, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2017) Downloads View citations (7) (2017)
  3. Inattention in individual expectations
    FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil) Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department (2015) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article Inattention in individual expectations, Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] (2017) Downloads (2017)

2015

  1. Local Unit Root and Inflationary Inertia in Brazil
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads

2014

  1. Risk Assessment of the Brazilian FX Rate
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads

2012

  1. Constructing Optimal Density Forecasts from Point Forecast Combinations
    Série Textos para Discussão (Working Papers), Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia - PPGE, Universidade Federal da Paraíba Downloads View citations (34)
    See also Journal Article CONSTRUCTING OPTIMAL DENSITY FORECASTS FROM POINT FORECAST COMBINATIONS, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2014) Downloads View citations (15) (2014)
  2. Financial Stability in Brazil
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Chapter Financial stability in Brazil, Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing (2013) Downloads (2013)

2011

  1. Macro Stress Testing of Credit Risk Focused on the Tails
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Macro stress testing of credit risk focused on the tails, Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier (2012) Downloads View citations (15) (2012)

2010

  1. Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression
    NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research Downloads View citations (10)
    Also in FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil) (2008) Downloads View citations (1)
    UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía (2009) Downloads
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department (2008) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2011) Downloads View citations (84) (2011)

2008

  1. An Econometric Contribution to the Intertemporal Approach of the Current Account
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads
  2. Evaluating Asset Pricing Models in a Fama-French Framework
    Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department Downloads View citations (2)

2006

  1. Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: a quantile autoregression approach
    FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil) Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: A quantile autoregression approach, Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier (2008) Downloads View citations (16) (2008)
  2. Stochastic simulation of a DSGE model for Brazil
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (6)

2005

  1. Limite de endividamento e sustentabilidade fiscal no Brasil: uma abordagem via modelo quantílico auto-regressivo (QAR)
    FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil) Downloads View citations (9)
  2. Um ensaio sobre expectativas da taxa de câmbio no Brasil
    (An essay on the foreign exchange rate expectations in Brazil)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

Journal Articles

2023

  1. Machine learning methods for inflation forecasting in Brazil: New contenders versus classical models
    Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), 2023, 4, (2) Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Machine Learning Methods for Inflation Forecasting in Brazil: new contenders versus classical models, Working Papers Series (2022) Downloads View citations (3) (2022)

2022

  1. Incentive-driven inattention
    Journal of Econometrics, 2022, 231, (1), 188-212 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Incentive-driven Inattention, CEPR Discussion Papers (2019) Downloads View citations (3) (2019)

2021

  1. Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach
    Energy Economics, 2021, 96, (C) Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper Commodity Prices and Global Economic Activity: a derived-demand approach, Working Papers Series (2020) Downloads View citations (1) (2020)
  2. Machine learning and oil price point and density forecasting
    Energy Economics, 2021, 102, (C) Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Machine Learning and Oil Price Point and Density Forecasting, Working Papers Series (2021) Downloads View citations (11) (2021)

2020

  1. Expectations anchoring indexes for Brazil using Kalman filter: Exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term
    International Economics, 2020, 163, (C), 72-91 Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in International Economics, 2020, (163), 72-91 (2020) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Working Paper Expectations Anchoring Indexes for Brazil using Kalman Filter: exploring signals of inflation anchoring in the long term, Working Papers Series (2019) Downloads View citations (1) (2019)

2018

  1. Estimating inflation persistence by quantile autoregression with quantile-specific unit roots
    Economic Modelling, 2018, 73, (C), 407-430 Downloads View citations (12)

2017

  1. Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation
    Empirical Economics, 2017, 53, (1), 137-163 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Applying a Microfounded-Forecasting Approach to Predict Brazilian Inflation, Working Papers Series (2016) Downloads (2016)
  2. Estimating the credibility of Brazilian monetary policy using a Kalman filter approach
    Research in International Business and Finance, 2017, 41, (C), 37-53 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Evaluation of exchange rate point and density forecasts: An application to Brazil
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2017, 33, (3), 707-728 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Evaluation of Exchange Rate Point and Density Forecasts: an application to Brazil, Working Papers Series (2016) Downloads (2016)
  4. Inattention in individual expectations
    Economia, 2017, 17, (1), 40_59 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Inattention in individual expectations, FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) (2016) Downloads View citations (2) (2016)

2014

  1. CONSTRUCTING OPTIMAL DENSITY FORECASTS FROM POINT FORECAST COMBINATIONS
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2014, 29, (5), 736-757 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper Constructing Optimal Density Forecasts from Point Forecast Combinations, Série Textos para Discussão (Working Papers) (2012) Downloads View citations (34) (2012)

2012

  1. Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2012, 44, (8), 1589-1607 Downloads View citations (16)
    Also in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2012, 44, (8), 1589-1607 (2012) Downloads View citations (49)
  2. Evaluating Asset Pricing Models in a Simulated Multifactor Approach
    Brazilian Review of Finance, 2012, 10, (4), 425-460 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Macro stress testing of credit risk focused on the tails
    Journal of Financial Stability, 2012, 8, (3), 174-192 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper Macro Stress Testing of Credit Risk Focused on the Tails, Working Papers Series (2011) Downloads View citations (10) (2011)

2011

  1. Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2011, 29, (1), 150-160 Downloads View citations (84)
    Also in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2011, 29, (1), 150-160 (2011) Downloads View citations (84)

    See also Working Paper Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression, NCER Working Paper Series (2010) Downloads View citations (10) (2010)

2008

  1. Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: A quantile autoregression approach
    Journal of Development Economics, 2008, 86, (2), 313-335 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: a quantile autoregression approach, FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) (2006) Downloads View citations (6) (2006)

2005

  1. An Essay on the Foreign Exchange Rate Expectations in Brazil
    Brazilian Review of Finance, 2005, 3, (1), 55-100 Downloads

Chapters

2013

  1. Financial stability in Brazil
    Chapter 4 in Stability of the Financial System, 2013 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Financial Stability in Brazil, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department (2012) Downloads View citations (8) (2012)

2010

  1. Survey-based inflation expectations in Brazil
    A chapter in Monetary policy and the measurement of inflation: prices, wages and expectations, 2010, vol. 49, pp 107-114 Downloads View citations (6)
 
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