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Inattention in individual expectations

Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro, Wagner Gaglianone () and João Issler ()

No 776, FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) from EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil)

Abstract: This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about infl ation rate. Using the Market Expectations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts every period and that even agents who update disagree in their predictions. We then focus on the two most popular types of inattention models that have been discussed in the recent literature: sticky-information and noisy-information models. Estimating a hybrid model we fi nd that, although formally fi tting the Brazilian data, it happens at the cost of a much higher degree of information rigidity than observed.

Date: 2016
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Related works:
Journal Article: Inattention in individual expectations (2017) Downloads
Working Paper: Inattention in Individual Expectations (2015) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fgv:epgewp:776

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