Details about Kesten Charles Green

Access statistics for papers by Kesten Charles Green.

Last updated 2024-04-10. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pgr97

Working Papers

2014

1. Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative, Journal of Business Research, Elsevier (2015) View citations (46) (2015)

2012

2. Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies, Journal of Business Research, Elsevier (2013) View citations (38) (2013)
3. Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (4)

2009

4. Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2011) View citations (8) (2011)

2008

5. Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
6. Benchmark forecasts for climate change
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)
7. Predicting elections from politicians’ faces
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (5)

2007

8. Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (16)
   Also in Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics (2005) View citations (5)
9. Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (9)
   See also Journal Article Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts, Energy & Environment (2007) View citations (8) (2007)
10. Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (24)
    See also Journal Article Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters (2007) View citations (23) (2007)
11. Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit, Interfaces, INFORMS (2008) View citations (4) (2008)

2005

12. Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods
    Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics View citations (5)
13. The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts?
    Others, University Library of Munich, Germany
    See also Journal Article The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts?, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters (2005) (2005)

2004

14. Further evidence on game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts
    Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics
15. Structured analogies for forecasting
    Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Structured analogies for forecasting, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2007) View citations (31) (2007)
16. Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts
    Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics View citations (10)

Journal Articles

2024

1. J. Scott Armstrong (1937 - 2023): Iconoclast and Champion of Science for Practical Purposes
   Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2024, (72), 5-7

2019

2. Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries
   PLOS ONE, 2019, 14, (1), 1-14

2018

3. Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists
   Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science, 2018, 28, (2), 103-159 View citations (8)

2015

4. Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you
   Journal of Business Research, 2015, 68, (8), 1768-1771 View citations (2)
5. Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative
   Journal of Business Research, 2015, 68, (8), 1717-1731 View citations (46)
   See also Working Paper Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative, MPRA Paper (2014) View citations (3) (2014)
6. Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence
   Journal of Business Research, 2015, 68, (8), 1678-1685 View citations (53)

2013

7. Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies
   Journal of Business Research, 2013, 66, (10), 1922-1927 View citations (38)
   See also Working Paper Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies, MPRA Paper (2012) View citations (2) (2012)

2011

8. Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm
   Energy & Environment, 2011, 22, (8), 1091-1104 View citations (1)
9. Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (1), 69-80 View citations (8)
   Also in International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (1), 69-80 (2011) View citations (9)
   See also Working Paper Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts, MPRA Paper (2009) View citations (1) (2009)

2009

10. Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2009, 25, (4), 826-832 View citations (8)

2008

11. Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit
    Interfaces, 2008, 38, (5), 382-405 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit, MPRA Paper (2007) View citations (3) (2007)
12. Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F?
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2008, (10), 38-40 View citations (2)

2007

13. Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts
    Energy & Environment, 2007, 18, (7), 997-1021 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts, MPRA Paper (2007) View citations (9) (2007)
14. Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2007, (8), 17-20 View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared, MPRA Paper (2007) View citations (24) (2007)
15. Structured analogies for forecasting
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2007, 23, (3), 365-376 View citations (31)
    See also Working Paper Structured analogies for forecasting, Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers (2004) View citations (4) (2004)
16. The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts
    Interfaces, 2007, 37, (3), 287-299 View citations (2)

2005

17. Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2005, 21, (3), 463-472 View citations (13)
18. The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts?
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2005, (2), 50-52
    See also Working Paper The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts?, Others (2005) (2005)

2002

19. Embroiled in a conflict: who do you call?
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2002, 18, (3), 389-395 View citations (1)
20. Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2002, 18, (3), 321-344 View citations (45)