Details about Paulo Fernando Rodrigues Lérias Júlio

Access statistics for papers by Paulo Fernando Rodrigues Lérias Júlio.

Last updated 2024-10-03. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pjl1

Working Papers

2023

1. Trends and cycles during the COVID-19 pandemic period
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
   See also Journal Article Trends and cycles during the COVID-19 pandemic period, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2024) (2024)

2022

2. Comparing estimated structural models of different complexities: What do we learn?
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department

2021

3. Review of macroeconomic modelling in the Eurosystem: current practices and scope for improvement
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (3)
4. Risk shocks, due loans, and policy options: When less is more!
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department

2018

5. An integrated financial amplifier: the role of defaulted loans and occasionally binding constraints in output fluctuations
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
6. Business investment in EU countries
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (2)

2017

7. The Portuguese post-2008 period: A narrative from an estimated DSGE model
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (2)

2015

8. Comparing fiscal multipliers across models and countries in Europe
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (38)
   Also in Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium (2015) View citations (40)
9. Financial Fragmentation Shocks
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (3)
10. Unpleasant debt dynamics: Can fiscal consolidations raise debt ratios?
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Unpleasant debt dynamics: Can fiscal consolidations raise debt ratios?, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2015) View citations (12) (2015)

2013

11. Fiscal Multipliers in a Small Euro Area Economy: How Big Can They Get in Crisis Times?
    EcoMod2013, EcoMod View citations (8)
    Also in Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department (2013) View citations (10)
12. Foreign direct investment and institutional reform: evidence and an application to Portugal
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article Foreign direct investment and institutional reform: evidence and an application to Portugal, Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer (2013) View citations (18) (2013)
13. Inside PESSOA -A Detailed Description of the Model
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (18)

2012

14. Evaluating the forecast quality of GDP components: An application to G7
    GEE Papers, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia View citations (2)

2011

15. Evaluating the forecast quality of GDP components
    GEE Papers, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia View citations (1)
16. FDI and institutional reform in Portugal
    GEE Papers, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia View citations (2)
17. PUBLIC DEBT STABILIZATION: REDISTRIBUTIVE DELAYS VERSUS PREEMPTIVE ANTICIPATIONS
    GEE Papers, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia

2010

18. Building Bridges: Heterogeneous Jurisdictions, Endogenous Spillovers, and the Benefits of Decentralization
    GEE Papers, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia
19. Digging Out the PPP Hypothesis: an Integrated Empirical Coverage
    GEE Papers, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia
    See also Journal Article Digging out the PPP hypothesis: an integrated empirical coverage, Empirical Economics, Springer (2012) View citations (7) (2012)
20. The Good, the Bad, and the Different: Can Gender Quotas Raise the Quality of Politicians?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article The Good, the Bad and the Different: Can Gender Quotas Raise the Quality of Politicians?, Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science (2017) View citations (14) (2017)
21. The Politics of Growth: Can Lobbying Raise Growth and Welfare?
    GEE Papers, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia
    See also Journal Article The politics of growth: Can lobbying raise growth and welfare?, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2014) View citations (1) (2014)

Journal Articles

2024

1. The magnifying role of the banking sector during depressions
   Journal of Macroeconomics, 2024, 79, (C)
2. Trends and cycles during the COVID-19 pandemic period
   Economic Modelling, 2024, 139, (C)
   See also Working Paper Trends and cycles during the COVID-19 pandemic period, Working Papers (2023) (2023)

2019

3. Comparing Fiscal Consolidation Multipliers across Models in Europe
   International Journal of Central Banking, 2019, 15, (3), 285-320 View citations (19)

2018

4. Interest rate spreads hikes: What lies behind them?
   Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2018

2017

5. Output in the Portuguese post-2008 period: A general equilibrium narrative
   Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2017
6. The Good, the Bad and the Different: Can Gender Quotas Raise the Quality of Politicians?
   Economica, 2017, 84, (335), 454-479 View citations (14)
   See also Working Paper The Good, the Bad, and the Different: Can Gender Quotas Raise the Quality of Politicians?, CEPR Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (4) (2010)

2016

7. WHAT DRIVES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN THE TRADABLE SECTOR?
   Portuguese Journal of Management Studies, 2016, 21, (2), 101-142

2015

8. Unpleasant debt dynamics: Can fiscal consolidations raise debt ratios?
   Journal of Macroeconomics, 2015, 44, (C), 276-294 View citations (12)
   See also Working Paper Unpleasant debt dynamics: Can fiscal consolidations raise debt ratios?, Working Papers (2015) View citations (12) (2015)

2014

9. Financial frictions and shock transmission: the Portuguese case
   Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2014 View citations (2)
10. The politics of growth: Can lobbying raise growth and welfare?
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2014, 42, (C), 263-280 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper The Politics of Growth: Can Lobbying Raise Growth and Welfare?, GEE Papers (2010) (2010)

2013

11. Foreign direct investment and institutional reform: evidence and an application to Portugal
    Portuguese Economic Journal, 2013, 12, (3), 215-250 View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper Foreign direct investment and institutional reform: evidence and an application to Portugal, Working Papers (2013) View citations (19) (2013)
12. Foreign investment and institutional reform: Portugal in European perspective
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2013

2012

13. Digging out the PPP hypothesis: an integrated empirical coverage
    Empirical Economics, 2012, 42, (3), 713-744 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Digging Out the PPP Hypothesis: an Integrated Empirical Coverage, GEE Papers (2010) (2010)