Details about Margaret Mabugu

Access statistics for papers by Margaret Mabugu.

Last updated 2026-07-15. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pma805

Working Papers

2026

1. The effects of climate change on South African labour markets implications for fiscal and monetary policy planning
   Working Papers, South African Reserve Bank

2025

2. Financing the Basic income support in South Africa under fiscal constraints
   Post-Print, HAL

2024

3. Possible Welfare Benefits of a Basic Income Support: Evidence from a benefit incidence analysis in South Africa
   ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa
   Also in ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa

2023

4. Climate Change and Women - Impacts and Adaptation
   Post-Print, HAL
   Also in Post-Print, HAL (2023)
5. Co-Modelling for Relief and Recovery from the Covid-19 Crisis in Zimbabwe
   Post-Print, HAL
6. Implications of COVID-19 and mitigation measures on gender and the Zimbabwean economy
   Post-Print, HAL

2021

7. Economic and Distributional Impact of COVID‐19: Evidence from Macro‐Micro Modelling of the South African Economy
   Post-Print, HAL View citations (3)
   Also in Working Papers, HAL (2020) View citations (4)
   See also Journal Article Economic and Distributional Impact of COVID‐19: Evidence from Macro‐Micro Modelling of the South African Economy, South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa (2021) View citations (4) (2021)
8. How COVID-19 Pandemic Worsens the Economic Situation of Women in South Africa
   Post-Print, HAL
   Also in Working Papers, HAL (2020) View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article How COVID-19 Pandemic Worsens the Economic Situation of Women in South Africa, The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan (2022) View citations (6) (2022)
9. Modelling a Gender Inclusive Covid-19 Recovery for Zimbabwe
   Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project
10. The Covid-19 fiscal package: A chance to seize the moment for environmental policy in South Africa?
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project
    Also in Working Papers, HAL (2020)
11. The impact of the COVID-19 enforced lockdown and fiscal package on the South African economy and environment: a preliminary analysis
    Post-Print, HAL
    See also Journal Article The impact of the COVID-19 enforced lockdown and fiscal package on the South African economy and environment: a preliminary analysis, Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press (2022) View citations (2) (2022)

2020

12. African commitments for agricultural development goals and milestones for Malawi
    AGRODEP working papers, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
13. Impact of climate change on vulnerable groups on South African labour markets
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (3)
14. The implication of public debt on the South African economy
    Working Papers, HAL

2019

15. Analysing Job Creation Effects of Scaling Up Infrastructure Spending in South Africa
    Working Papers, HAL
    Also in Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE (2013) View citations (8)
    Post-Print, HAL (2016) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Analysing job creation effects of scaling up infrastructure spending in South Africa, Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) View citations (7) (2016)
16. Does South African Affirmative Action Policy Reduce Poverty? A CGE Analysis
    Working Papers, HAL
    Also in Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE (2009) View citations (2)
    Post-Print, HAL (2016)
    See also Journal Article Does South African Affirmative Action Policy Reduce Poverty? A CGE Analysis, Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons (2016) (2016)

2018

17. Reforming grants to tackle child poverty: An integrated macro-micro approach
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Reforming grants to tackle child poverty: An integrated macro-micro approach, World Development, Elsevier (2018) View citations (7) (2018)
18. South Africa milestones to achieving the sustainable development goals on poverty and hunger
    IFPRI discussion papers, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) View citations (2)

2017

19. Modelling Strategic Options for Agricultural Growth and Rural Development in South Africa
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

2015

20. A Retrospective Look at How Well a Macro-Micro Model Can Analyze the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on a Developing Country
    Post-Print, HAL
    See also Journal Article A Retrospective Look at How Well a Macro‐Micro Model Can Analyze the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on a Developing Country, Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons (2015) (2015)
21. Border Tax Adjustments to Negate the Economic Impact of an Electricty Generation Tax
    ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa
    Also in ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa (2010)
    EcoMod2010, EcoMod (2010)
    Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics (2010)
22. Economywide consequences of attaining Millenium Development Goals in South Africa
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Economywide consequences of attaining Millenium Development Goals in South Africa', Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon (2015) View citations (2) (2015)
23. The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics (2010) View citations (3)
    Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics (2010) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa, Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons (2015) View citations (1) (2015)

2014

24. Assessing the General Equilibrium Effect of Social Grants in South Africa
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project
25. Real Effects of Public Debt on National Development
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

2013

26. Assessing Fiscal Capacity at the Local Government Level in South Africa
    Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics View citations (3)
27. Assessing the Economywide Effects of Development Interventions: An Analytical Framework Applied to the South African Child Support Grant
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project
28. Impact of fiscal policy in an intertemporal CGE model for South Africa
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (22)
    See also Journal Article Impact of fiscal policy in an intertemporal CGE model for South Africa, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2013) View citations (27) (2013)
29. Realising Millenium Development Goals through intergovernmental fiscal transfers
    Post-Print, HAL
30. The Economy-wide Impacts of the South African Child Support Grant: a Micro-Simulation-Computable General Equilibrium Analysis
    Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE View citations (2)

2012

31. Analysis of the Economic Impacts of the South African Child Support Grant Via A Microsimulation-CGE Model
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project
32. Public infrastructure investments in South Africa: a rational growth strategy?
    PEP Policy Briefs, Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP)

2011

33. A multiregion general equilibrium analysis of fiscal consolidation in South Africa
    IFPRI discussion papers, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) View citations (9)
34. The welfare effects of Reversed Border Tax Adjustments as a remedy under unilateral environmental taxation: A South African case study
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

2010

35. Analysing Alternative Policy Response to High Oil Prices, Using an Energy Integrated CGE Microsimulation Approach for South Africa
    ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa
36. Determinants of Specialization and the Role of Trade Costs
    EcoMod2010, EcoMod View citations (4)
37. Silent victims: Child poverty in the wake of the global economic crisis
    Post-Print, HAL
38. The Impact of the Global Economic Crisis on Sub-National Government � Lessons from the Free State Province in South Africa
    Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics View citations (1)
39. The impact of the international financial crisis on child poverty in South Africa
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

2009

40. THE COMPETITIVENESS IMPACT OF A MULTILATERAL ELECTRICITY GENERATION TAX
    Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics
41. THE IMPACT OF AN ELECTRICITY GENERATION TAX ON THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY
    Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics View citations (7)
    Also in ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa (2009)
42. The Impact of the International Economic Crisis in South Africa
    Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE View citations (4)

2008

43. The General Equilibrium Effects of a Productivity Increase on the Economy and Gender in South Africa
    Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics
44. Working Paper 95 - Agricultural Trade Policy Reform in South Africa
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank

2007

45. A Computable General Equilibrium Micro-Simulation Analysis of the Impact of Trade Policies on Poverty in Zimbabwe
    Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics View citations (7)
    Also in Working Papers MPIA, PEP-MPIA (2005) View citations (12)
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project (2005)
46. Is Increased Agricultural Protection Beneficial for South Africa?
    Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics
    See also Journal Article Is increased agricultural protection beneficial for South Africa?, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2009) View citations (1) (2009)
47. Poverty and Inequality Effects of a High Growth Scenario in South Africa: A Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Analysis
    Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics (2007) View citations (2)
48. Poverty and Inequality Impacts of Trade Policy Reforms in South Africa
    Working Papers MPIA, PEP-MPIA View citations (7)
49. South Africa Trade Liberalization and Poverty in a Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Model
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project View citations (3)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics (2007) View citations (9)

2006

50. A Gender-Aware Integrated Macro-Micro Model for Evaluating Impacts of Policies on Poverty Reduction in Africa: The Case of South Africa
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project
51. Does Trade Liberalisation Lead to Poverty Alleviation? a CGE Microsimulation Approach for Zimbabwe
    Working Papers MPIA, PEP-MPIA View citations (4)
52. Does Trade Liberalisation Leave Women Behind in South Africa: A Gendered CGE Analysis
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project
53. Evaluating the Impact of Land Redistribution: A CGE Microsimulation Application to Zimbabwe
    Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Evaluating the Impact of Land Redistribution: A CGE Microsimulation Application to Zimbabwe, Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (2008) View citations (10) (2008)
54. Official revisions to SA national accounts data: Magnitudes and implications
    ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa
55. Textiles Protection and Poverty in South Africa/La protection du secteur des textiles et la pauvreté en Afrique du Sud: une analyse en équilibre général calculable dynamique micro-simulé
    Working Papers MPIA, PEP-MPIA

2002

56. ACCOUNTING FOR FOREST RESOURCES IN ZIMBABWE
    Discussion Papers, University of Pretoria, Center for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa View citations (3)

Journal Articles

2026

1. Evaluating impacts of agriculture-led investments on sub-Saharan African countries’ growth and poverty
   International Review of Applied Economics, 2026, 40, (1), 153-169

2025

2. The employment-effects of greening the South African economy
   Development Southern Africa, 2025, 42, (4-5), 497-518

2023

3. Climate Change and Women – Impacts and Adaptation
   International Review of Environmental and Resource Economics, 2023, 17, (1), 99–152
4. Is Africa on Track to Ending Poverty by 2030?
   Journal of African Economies, 2023, 32, (Supplement_2), ii87-ii98 View citations (2)
5. Just Energy Transition of South Africa in a Post-COVID Era
   Sustainability, 2023, 15, (14), 1-28 View citations (5)

2022

6. How COVID-19 Pandemic Worsens the Economic Situation of Women in South Africa
   The European Journal of Development Research, 2022, 34, (3), 1627-1644 View citations (6)
   See also Working Paper How COVID-19 Pandemic Worsens the Economic Situation of Women in South Africa, Post-Print (2021) (2021)
7. The impact of the COVID-19 enforced lockdown and fiscal package on the South African economy and environment: a preliminary analysis
   Environment and Development Economics, 2022, 27, (3), 209-222 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper The impact of the COVID-19 enforced lockdown and fiscal package on the South African economy and environment: a preliminary analysis, Post-Print (2021) (2021)
8. The implications of deteriorating state‐owned enterprise performance on the South African economy
   Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, 2022, 93, (3), 731-754 View citations (2)

2021

9. Economic and Distributional Impact of COVID‐19: Evidence from Macro‐Micro Modelling of the South African Economy
   South African Journal of Economics, 2021, 89, (1), 82-94 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper Economic and Distributional Impact of COVID‐19: Evidence from Macro‐Micro Modelling of the South African Economy, Post-Print (2021) View citations (3) (2021)
10. Welfare impacts of introducing water pollution tax in the Olifants river basin in South Africa: A revisited analysis using a top-down micro-accounting approach
    Agrekon, 2021, 60, (3), 253-263 View citations (1)

2018

11. Reforming grants to tackle child poverty: An integrated macro-micro approach
    World Development, 2018, 112, (C), 272-281 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Reforming grants to tackle child poverty: An integrated macro-micro approach, Post-Print (2018) View citations (5) (2018)

2016

12. Analysing job creation effects of scaling up infrastructure spending in South Africa
    Development Southern Africa, 2016, 33, (2), 186-202 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Analysing Job Creation Effects of Scaling Up Infrastructure Spending in South Africa, Working Papers (2019) (2019)
13. Does South African Affirmative Action Policy Reduce Poverty? A CGE Analysis
    Poverty & Public Policy, 2016, 8, (3), 212-227
    See also Working Paper Does South African Affirmative Action Policy Reduce Poverty? A CGE Analysis, Working Papers (2019) (2019)
14. Gender Inequalities in Morbidity: A South African Investigation
    Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 2016, 40, (3), 39-64

2015

15. A Retrospective Look at How Well a Macro‐Micro Model Can Analyze the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on a Developing Country
    Poverty & Public Policy, 2015, 7, (3), 211-222
    See also Working Paper A Retrospective Look at How Well a Macro-Micro Model Can Analyze the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on a Developing Country, Post-Print (2015) (2015)
16. Economywide consequences of attaining Millenium Development Goals in South Africa'
    Economics Bulletin, 2015, 35, (2), 1118-1127 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Economywide consequences of attaining Millenium Development Goals in South Africa, Post-Print (2015) View citations (2) (2015)
17. Pro-Poor Tax Policy Changes in South Africa: Potential and Limitations
    Journal of African Economies, 2015, 24, (suppl_2), ii73-ii105 View citations (3)
18. The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa
    Poverty & Public Policy, 2015, 7, (2), 176-199 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa, Post-Print (2015) View citations (1) (2015)

2014

19. Can trade liberalisation in South Africa reduce poverty and inequality while boosting economic growth? Macro--micro reflections
    Development Southern Africa, 2014, 31, (2), 257-274 View citations (5)
20. Special Issue: Redistribution for equitable development in South Africa
    Development Southern Africa, 2014, 31, (2), 195-196

2013

21. Impact of fiscal policy in an intertemporal CGE model for South Africa
    Economic Modelling, 2013, 31, (C), 775-782 View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper Impact of fiscal policy in an intertemporal CGE model for South Africa, Post-Print (2013) View citations (22) (2013)
22. The Impact of a Multilateral Electricity Generation Tax on Competitiveness in Southern Africa: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis Using the Global Trade Analysis Project
    Energy & Environment, 2013, 24, (6), 917-938

2012

23. The Welfare Effects of Reversed Border Tax Adjustments as a Remedy under Unilateral Environmental Taxation
    Energy & Environment, 2012, 23, (8), 1209-1220 View citations (1)
24. The poverty implications of high oil prices in South Africa
    Environment and Development Economics, 2012, 17, (3), 293-313 View citations (9)

2010

25. Case Study: A gender-focused macro-micro analysis of the poverty impacts of trade liberalization in South Africa
    International Journal of Microsimulation, 2010, 3, (1), 104-108 View citations (16)
26. The Impact of an Environmental Tax on Electricity Generation in South Africa
    Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 2010, 34, (2), 1-18

2009

27. Is increased agricultural protection beneficial for South Africa?
    Economic Modelling, 2009, 26, (1), 256-265 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Is Increased Agricultural Protection Beneficial for South Africa?, Working Papers (2007) (2007)
28. LIBERALISING TRADE IN SOUTH AFRICA: A SURVEY OF COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM STUDIES
    South African Journal of Economics, 2009, 77, (3), 445-464 View citations (2)
29. Oil prices and the South African economy: A macro-meso-micro analysis
    Energy Policy, 2009, 37, (12), 5509-5518 View citations (29)

2008

30. Agricultural trade policy reform in South Africa
    Agrekon, 2008, 47, (01), 26 View citations (1)
31. Evaluating the Impact of Land Redistribution: A CGE Microsimulation Application to Zimbabwe
    Journal of African Economies, 2008, 17, (4), 527-549 View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper Evaluating the Impact of Land Redistribution: A CGE Microsimulation Application to Zimbabwe, Working Papers (2006) View citations (1) (2006)

2007

32. The impact of tariff removal on poverty in Zimbabwe: A computable general equilibrium microsimulation
    Journal of Development Studies, 2007, 43, (6), 1105-1125 View citations (5)

2006

33. Searching for Triple Dividends in South Africa: Fighting CO2 pollution and poverty while promoting growth
    The Energy Journal, 2006, 27, (2), 113-142 View citations (4)

2000

34. Distribution policy under trade liberalisation in Zimbabwe: a CGE analysis
    Journal of African Economies, 2000, 9, (2), 101-131 View citations (2)

Chapters

2007

1. A Gender-Focused Macro-Micro Analysis of the Poverty Impacts of Trade Liberalization in South Africa
   A chapter in Equity, 2007, pp 269-305 View citations (2)