Details about Suleyman Ozmucur

Access statistics for papers by Suleyman Ozmucur.

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Short-id: poz6

Working Papers

2021

1. Fighting COVID-19: Patterns in International Data, Expanded
   PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania

2020

2. Fighting COVID-19:Performance of Countries in the First Half of 2020
   PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania
3. Predictive Performance of Mixed-Frequency Nowcasting and Forecasting Models (with Application to Philippine Inflation and GDP Growth)Abstract: We study how the separation of time and risk preferences relates to a behavioral property that generalizes impatience to stochastic environments: Stochastic Impatience. We show that, within a broad class of models, Stochastic Impatience holds if and only if risk aversion is not too high relative to the inverse of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution. In par-ticular, in the models of Epstein and Zin (1989) and Hansen and Sargent (1995), Stochastic Impatience is violated for all commonly used parameters
   PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania

2003

4. Wage and Productivity Differentials in Private and Public
   Industrial Organization, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)

2002

5. Succession Effects in Radically Different Environments: A Study in Turkish Banking before and after Liberalization
   Working Papers, Economic Research Forum

2001

6. Budget Deficit, Inflation and Debt Sustainability: Evidence from Turkey(1970-2000)
   Working Papers, Bogazici University, Department of Economics View citations (11)

1997

7. Productivity and Profitability in 500 Largest Firms of Turkey, 1980-1994
   Working Papers, Economic Research Forum

1996

8. Budget Deficit, Money Supply and Inflation: Evidence from Low and High Frequency Data for Turkey
   Working Papers, Bogazici University, Department of Economics View citations (18)
   Also in Working Papers, Bogazici University, Department of Economics (1996)

1991

9. Capital Flows and the External Financing of Turkey's Imports (Special Series on Mixed Credits, in Collaboration with ICEPS)
   OECD Development Centre Working Papers, OECD Publishing

Undated

10. Lawrence R. Klein’s Principles in Modeling and Contributions in Nowcasting, Real-Time Forecasting, and Machine Learning
    PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania

Journal Articles

2021

1. Predictive Performance of Mixed-Frequency Nowcasting and Forecasting Models (with Application to Philippine Inflation and GDP Growth)
   Journal of Quantitative Economics, 2021, 19, (1), 383-400 View citations (2)

2020

2. Fighting COVID-19: patterns in international data
   Philippine Review of Economics, 2020, 57, (2), 200-223

2018

3. Potential output and output gap estimation models for the Philippines
   Philippine Review of Economics, 2018, 55, (1 and 2), 161-197

2010

4. The use of consumer and business surveys in forecasting
   Economic Modelling, 2010, 27, (6), 1453-1462 View citations (25)

2007

5. Liberalization and concentration: Case of Turkey
   The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2007, 46, (5), 762-777 View citations (1)
6. The wealth effect: A contemporary update to the age of affluence
   Journal of Policy Modeling, 2007, 29, (4), 609-622

2004

7. Prediction of Currency Crises: Case of Turkey
   Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, 2004, 2, (2), 1-21 View citations (15)

2002

8. Consumer Behavior Under the Influence of Terrorism Within the United States
   Journal of Entrepreneurial Finance, 2002, 7, (3), 1-16 View citations (5)
9. REAL WAGES AND STANDARDS OF LIVING IN THE OTTOMAN EMPIRE, 1489–1914
   The Journal of Economic History, 2002, 62, (2), 293-321 View citations (47)

1990

10. Exchange rates, inflation and money supply in Turkey: Testing the vicious circle hypothesis
    Journal of Development Economics, 1990, 32, (1), 133-154 View citations (11)

1987

11. A Systems Approach for the Turkish Housing Problem
    Interfaces, 1987, 17, (5), 1-10

1979

12. More on Built-in Flexibility of Taxation
    Public Finance = Finances publiques, 1979, 34, (3), 443-51 View citations (2)

1978

13. The Short Run Burden of Taxes on Turkish Agriculture-A Reply
    Public Finance = Finances publiques, 1978, 33, (1-2), 168-69

1976

14. The Short-run Burden of Taxes on Turkish Agriculture in the Sixties
    Public Finance = Finances publiques, 1976, 31, (1), 31-57

Books

2002

1. Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey
   EconStor Books, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics View citations (26)

Chapters

2018

1. High-mixed-frequency forecasting models for GDP and inflation
   Chapter 2 in Global Economic Modeling A Volume in Honor of Lawrence R. Klein, 2018, pp 2-29 View citations (1)

2009

2. Current Quarter Model for Turkey
   Chapter 9 in The Making of National Economic Forecasts, 2009 View citations (1)
3. Estimation of the US Treasury Yield Curve at Daily and Intra-Daily Frequency
   Chapter 10 in The Making of National Economic Forecasts, 2009

2008

4. THE UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA MODELS FOR HIGH-FREQUENCY MACROECONOMIC MODELING
   Chapter 2 in Econometric Forecasting And High-Frequency Data Analysis, 2008, pp 53-91 View citations (3)

2006

5. Capital Controls, Financial Crises and Cures: Simulations with an Econometric Model for Malaysia
   Chapter 4 in Recent Financial Crises, 2006

1998

6. A MONTHLY ECONOMETRIC MODEL FOR TURKEY, JANUARY 1981–JUNE 1991
   Chapter 15 in Link Proceedings 1991, 1992 Selected Papers from Meetings in Moscow, 1991, and Ankara, 1992, 1998, pp 289-303

1996

7. The Peace Dividend in Turkey
   A chapter in The Peace Dividend, 1996, pp 215-238