Details about David Ubilava

Access statistics for papers by David Ubilava.

Last updated 2023-01-07. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pub8

Working Papers

2022

1. Agricultural Windfalls and the Seasonality of Political Violence in Africa
   Papers, arXiv.org

2021

2. Commodity Price Shocks and the Seasonality of Conflict
   Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics
3. Direct and Iterated Multistep Smooth Transition Autoregressive Methods for Commodity Price Forecasting
   2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

2020

4. Geographic Diversity in Economic Publishing
   SoDa Laboratories Working Paper Series, Monash University, SoDa Laboratories View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2021)
5. Lives Saved during Economic Downturns: Evidence from Australia
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article in Health Economics (2021)
6. Price Transmission in Conflict-Affected States: Evidence from Cereal Markets of Somalia
   Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of African Economies (2022)

2019

7. The Signal and the Noise of Short-Term Climate Forecasts: Evidence from Grain Futures Markets
   2019 Annual Meeting, July 21-23, Atlanta, Georgia, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)

2017

8. The ENSO Effect and Asymmetries in Wheat Price Dynamics
   Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics View citations (12)
   See also Journal Article in World Development (2017)
9. The El Niño Southern Oscillation and Economic Growth in the Developing World
   Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics View citations (10)

2016

10. The Effect of Extreme Weather and Climate Anomalies on U.S. Wheat Production
    2016 Conference (60th), February 2-5, 2016, Canberra, Australia, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society
11. The Predictive Content of Climate Anomalies for Agricultural Production: Does ENSO Really Matter?
    2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
12. The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in Commodity Price Movement and Predictability
    Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in American Journal of Agricultural Economics (2018)

2014

13. On the Relationship between Financial Instability and Economic Performance: Stressing the Business of Nonlinear Modelling
    2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2019)
14. The ENSO Effect on World Wheat Market Dynamics: Smooth Transitions in Asymmetric Price Transmission
    2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

2013

15. Do the Trade Winds Alter the Trade Flow? Assessing Impacts of ENSO Shocks on World Cereal Supply
    2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
16. El Niño Southern Oscillation and Primary Agricultural Commodity Prices: Causal Inferences from Smooth Transition Models
    2013 Conference (57th), February 5-8, 2013, Sydney, Australia, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society View citations (1)
17. El Ni˜no Southern Oscillation Impacts on Crop Insurance
    2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
    See also Journal Article in Agricultural Economics (2015)

2012

18. Effects of El Nino Southern Oscillation on World Cereal Production
    2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
19. Forecasting ENSO with a smooth transition autoregressive model
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (10)
20. The Effect of the El Nino Southern Oscillation on U.S. Corn Production and Downside Risk
    2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama, Southern Agricultural Economics Association View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Climatic Change (2013)

2011

21. Alternatives to a State-Based ACRE Program: Expected Payments Under a National, Crop District, or County Base
    Economic Research Report, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (6)
22. The ENSO Impact on Predicting World Cocoa Prices
    2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)

2009

23. Nonlinearities in the World Vegetable Oil Price System: El Nino Effects
    2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (3)

2008

24. Analysis of the Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratio and its Impact on Farmers' Planting Decision-Making in Indiana
    2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas, Southern Agricultural Economics Association View citations (1)
25. DIFFERENCES IN U.S. CONSUMER PREFERENCES FOR CERTIFIED PORK CHOPS WHEN FACING BRANDED VS. NON-BRANDED CHOICES
    2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)

2007

26. EFFECTS OF FIRM-SPECIFIC FACTORS ON R&D EXPENDITURES OF AGRIBUSINESS COMPANIES
    Working Papers, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics View citations (1)
27. Targeting Consumers by Store - The Basis of Increased Sales with Less Advertising
    2007 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2007, Mobile, Alabama, Southern Agricultural Economics Association

Journal Articles

2022

1. A comparison of multistep commodity price forecasts using direct and iterated smooth transition autoregressive methods
   Agricultural Economics, 2022, 53, (5), 687-701
2. Global commodity market disruption and the fallout
   Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2022, 66, (4), 737-752
3. Price Transmission in Conflict-Affected States: Evidence from Cereal Markets of Somalia
   (Information from Markets Near and Far: Mobile Phones and Agricultural Markets in Niger)
   Journal of African Economies, 2022, 31, (3), 272-291
   See also Working Paper (2020)

2021

4. Geographic diversity in economic publishing
   Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2021, 190, (C), 255-262 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper (2020)
5. Lives saved during economic downturns: Evidence from Australia
   Health Economics, 2021, 30, (10), 2452-2467 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper (2020)

2019

6. ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FINANCIAL INSTABILITY AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE: STRESSING THE BUSINESS OF NONLINEAR MODELING
   Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2019, 23, (1), 80-100 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper (2014)
7. Smooth transitions across latitudes and longitudes: An application of a nonlinear panel regression to the climate—economics nexus
   Economics Letters, 2019, 182, (C), 114-117

2018

8. The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in Commodity Price Movement and Predictability
   American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2018, 100, (1), 239-263 View citations (13)
   See also Working Paper (2016)

2017

9. The ENSO Effect and Asymmetries in Wheat Price Dynamics
   World Development, 2017, 96, (C), 490-502 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper (2017)

2015

10. Climate and agricultural risk: measuring the effect of ENSO on U.S. crop insurance
    Agricultural Economics, 2015, 46, (2), 245-257 View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (2013)

2014

11. El Niño Southern Oscillation and the fishmeal–soya bean meal price ratio: regime-dependent dynamics revisited
    European Review of Agricultural Economics, 2014, 41, (4), 583-604 View citations (6)

2013

12. El Ni~no southern oscillation and its effects on world vegetable oil prices: assessing asymmetries using smooth transition models
    Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2013, 57, (2), 25 View citations (13)
    Also in Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2013, 57, (2), 273-297 (2013) View citations (28)
13. The effect of El Niño Southern Oscillation on U.S. corn production and downside risk
    Climatic Change, 2013, 121, (4), 689-700 View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (2012)

2012

14. El Niño, La Niña, and world coffee price dynamics
    Agricultural Economics, 2012, 43, (1), 17-26 View citations (34)
15. Modeling Nonlinearities in the U.S. Soybean‐to‐Corn Price Ratio: A Smooth Transition Autoregression Approach
    Agribusiness, 2012, 28, (1), 29-41 View citations (14)
16. Switching the Payment Trigger for an Area-Based Revenue Program Could Increase Participation
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2012, (01), 11

2011

17. The SURE Program and Its Interaction with Other Federal Farm Programs
    Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2011, 36, (3), 19 View citations (3)

2009

18. Quality certification vs. product traceability: Consumer preferences for informational attributes of pork in Georgia
    Food Policy, 2009, 34, (3), 305-310 View citations (39)

2006

19. The Importance of Marketing Tools for Accessing Markets by Agribusiness Firms of Newly Emerged Market Economy Countries
    Journal of Food Distribution Research, 2006, 37, (1), 2