Details about David Ubilava

Access statistics for papers by David Ubilava.

Last updated 2024-12-07. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pub8

Working Papers

2024

1. Agricultural Roots of Social Conflict in Southeast Asia
   Papers, arXiv.org
2. Climate, Crops, and Postharvest Conflict
   Papers, arXiv.org

2022

3. Agricultural Windfalls and the Seasonality of Political Violence in Africa
   Papers, arXiv.org View citations (8)
   See also Journal Article Agricultural windfalls and the seasonality of political violence in Africa, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons (2023) View citations (4) (2023)

2021

4. Commodity Price Shocks and the Seasonality of Conflict
   Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics View citations (1)
5. Direct and Iterated Multistep Smooth Transition Autoregressive Methods for Commodity Price Forecasting
   2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

2020

6. Geographic Diversity in Economic Publishing
   SoDa Laboratories Working Paper Series, Monash University, SoDa Laboratories View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Geographic diversity in economic publishing, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier (2021) View citations (6) (2021)
7. Lives Saved during Economic Downturns: Evidence from Australia
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article Lives saved during economic downturns: Evidence from Australia, Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2021) View citations (5) (2021)
8. Price Transmission in Conflict-Affected States: Evidence from Cereal Markets of Somalia
   Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Price Transmission in Conflict-Affected States: Evidence from Cereal Markets of Somalia, Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (2022) View citations (5) (2022)

2019

9. The Signal and the Noise of Short-Term Climate Forecasts: Evidence from Grain Futures Markets
   2019 Annual Meeting, July 21-23, Atlanta, Georgia, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)

2017

10. The ENSO Effect and Asymmetries in Wheat Price Dynamics
    Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics View citations (23)
    See also Journal Article The ENSO Effect and Asymmetries in Wheat Price Dynamics, World Development, Elsevier (2017) View citations (17) (2017)
11. The El Niño Southern Oscillation and Economic Growth in the Developing World
    Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics View citations (22)

2016

12. The Effect of Extreme Weather and Climate Anomalies on U.S. Wheat Production
    2016 Conference (60th), February 2-5, 2016, Canberra, Australia, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society
13. The Predictive Content of Climate Anomalies for Agricultural Production: Does ENSO Really Matter?
    2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
14. The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in Commodity Price Movement and Predictability
    Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in Commodity Price Movement and Predictability, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2018) View citations (27) (2018)

2014

15. On the Relationship between Financial Instability and Economic Performance: Stressing the Business of Nonlinear Modelling
    2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FINANCIAL INSTABILITY AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE: STRESSING THE BUSINESS OF NONLINEAR MODELING, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2019) View citations (3) (2019)
16. The ENSO Effect on World Wheat Market Dynamics: Smooth Transitions in Asymmetric Price Transmission
    2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

2013

17. Do the Trade Winds Alter the Trade Flow? Assessing Impacts of ENSO Shocks on World Cereal Supply
    2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
18. El Niño Southern Oscillation and Primary Agricultural Commodity Prices: Causal Inferences from Smooth Transition Models
    2013 Conference (57th), February 5-8, 2013, Sydney, Australia, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society View citations (1)
19. El Ni˜no Southern Oscillation Impacts on Crop Insurance
    2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
    See also Journal Article Climate and agricultural risk: measuring the effect of ENSO on U.S. crop insurance, Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists (2015) View citations (25) (2015)

2012

20. Effects of El Nino Southern Oscillation on World Cereal Production
    2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
21. Forecasting ENSO with a smooth transition autoregressive model
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (10)
22. The Effect of the El Nino Southern Oscillation on U.S. Corn Production and Downside Risk
    2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama, Southern Agricultural Economics Association View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article The effect of El Niño Southern Oscillation on U.S. corn production and downside risk, Climatic Change, Springer (2013) View citations (18) (2013)

2011

23. Alternatives to a State-Based ACRE Program: Expected Payments Under a National, Crop District, or County Base
    Economic Research Report, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (6)
24. The ENSO Impact on Predicting World Cocoa Prices
    2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)

2009

25. Nonlinearities in the World Vegetable Oil Price System: El Nino Effects
    2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (3)

2008

26. Analysis of the Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratio and its Impact on Farmers' Planting Decision-Making in Indiana
    2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas, Southern Agricultural Economics Association View citations (1)
27. DIFFERENCES IN U.S. CONSUMER PREFERENCES FOR CERTIFIED PORK CHOPS WHEN FACING BRANDED VS. NON-BRANDED CHOICES
    2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)

2007

28. EFFECTS OF FIRM-SPECIFIC FACTORS ON R&D EXPENDITURES OF AGRIBUSINESS COMPANIES
    Working Papers, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics View citations (1)
29. Targeting Consumers by Store - The Basis of Increased Sales with Less Advertising
    2007 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2007, Mobile, Alabama, Southern Agricultural Economics Association

Journal Articles

2023

1. Agricultural windfalls and the seasonality of political violence in Africa
   American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2023, 105, (5), 1309-1332 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper Agricultural Windfalls and the Seasonality of Political Violence in Africa, Papers (2022) View citations (8) (2022)

2022

2. A comparison of multistep commodity price forecasts using direct and iterated smooth transition autoregressive methods
   Agricultural Economics, 2022, 53, (5), 687-701 View citations (1)
3. Global commodity market disruption and the fallout
   Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2022, 66, (04) View citations (3)
   Also in Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2022, 66, (4), 737-752 (2022) View citations (4)
4. Price Transmission in Conflict-Affected States: Evidence from Cereal Markets of Somalia
   Journal of African Economies, 2022, 31, (3), 272-291 View citations (5)
   See also Working Paper Price Transmission in Conflict-Affected States: Evidence from Cereal Markets of Somalia, Working Papers (2020) View citations (1) (2020)

2021

5. Geographic diversity in economic publishing
   Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2021, 190, (C), 255-262 View citations (6)
   See also Working Paper Geographic Diversity in Economic Publishing, SoDa Laboratories Working Paper Series (2020) View citations (1) (2020)
6. Lives saved during economic downturns: Evidence from Australia
   Health Economics, 2021, 30, (10), 2452-2467 View citations (5)
   See also Working Paper Lives Saved during Economic Downturns: Evidence from Australia, IZA Discussion Papers (2020) View citations (3) (2020)

2019

7. ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FINANCIAL INSTABILITY AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE: STRESSING THE BUSINESS OF NONLINEAR MODELING
   Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2019, 23, (1), 80-100 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper On the Relationship between Financial Instability and Economic Performance: Stressing the Business of Nonlinear Modelling, 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota (2014) View citations (1) (2014)
8. Smooth transitions across latitudes and longitudes: An application of a nonlinear panel regression to the climate—economics nexus
   Economics Letters, 2019, 182, (C), 114-117

2018

9. The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in Commodity Price Movement and Predictability
   American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2018, 100, (1), 239-263 View citations (27)
   See also Working Paper The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in Commodity Price Movement and Predictability, Working Papers (2016) View citations (4) (2016)

2017

10. The ENSO Effect and Asymmetries in Wheat Price Dynamics
    World Development, 2017, 96, (C), 490-502 View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper The ENSO Effect and Asymmetries in Wheat Price Dynamics, Working Papers (2017) View citations (23) (2017)

2015

11. Climate and agricultural risk: measuring the effect of ENSO on U.S. crop insurance
    Agricultural Economics, 2015, 46, (2), 245-257 View citations (25)
    See also Working Paper El Ni˜no Southern Oscillation Impacts on Crop Insurance, 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. (2013) (2013)

2014

12. El Niño Southern Oscillation and the fishmeal–soya bean meal price ratio: regime-dependent dynamics revisited
    European Review of Agricultural Economics, 2014, 41, (4), 583-604 View citations (8)

2013

13. El Ni~no southern oscillation and its effects on world vegetable oil prices: assessing asymmetries using smooth transition models
    Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2013, 57, (2), 25 View citations (18)
    Also in Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2013, 57, (2), 273-297 (2013) View citations (35)
14. The effect of El Niño Southern Oscillation on U.S. corn production and downside risk
    Climatic Change, 2013, 121, (4), 689-700 View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper The Effect of the El Nino Southern Oscillation on U.S. Corn Production and Downside Risk, 2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama (2012) View citations (2) (2012)

2012

15. El Niño, La Niña, and world coffee price dynamics
    Agricultural Economics, 2012, 43, (1), 17-26 View citations (47)
16. Modeling Nonlinearities in the U.S. Soybean‐to‐Corn Price Ratio: A Smooth Transition Autoregression Approach
    Agribusiness, 2012, 28, (1), 29-41 View citations (17)
17. Switching the Payment Trigger for an Area-Based Revenue Program Could Increase Participation
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2012, (01), 11

2011

18. The SURE Program and Its Interaction with Other Federal Farm Programs
    Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2011, 36, (3), 19 View citations (4)

2009

19. Quality certification vs. product traceability: Consumer preferences for informational attributes of pork in Georgia
    Food Policy, 2009, 34, (3), 305-310 View citations (42)

2006

20. The Importance of Marketing Tools for Accessing Markets by Agribusiness Firms of Newly Emerged Market Economy Countries
    Journal of Food Distribution Research, 2006, 37, (01), 2