Details about Mauricio Ulate

Access statistics for papers by Mauricio Ulate.

Last updated 2025-05-15. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pul71

Working Papers

2025

1. Labor market effects of global supply chain disruptions
   CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE
   Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (2023)
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2023)
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2023)
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2023)
   See also Journal Article Labor market effects of global supply chain disruptions, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2025) (2025)
2. The 2025 Trade War: Dynamic Impacts Across U.S. States and the Global Economy
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
   Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2025)
3. Trade with nominal rigidities: Understanding the unemployment and welfare effects of the China shock
   CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (21)
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2022) View citations (9)
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2022)
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2024)

2024

4. A Macroeconomic Model of Central Bank Digital Currency
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
5. Regional Dissent: Do Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes?
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
   Also in CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington (2024)

2023

6. The Transmission of Negative Nominal Interest Rates in Finland
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
   Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2023) View citations (1)

2022

7. Making Sense of Negative Nominal Interest Rates
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (9)

2020

8. Alternative Models of Interest Rate Pass-Through in Normal and Negative Territory
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article Alternative Models of Interest Rate Pass-Through in Normal and Negative Territory, International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2021) View citations (10) (2021)
9. New-Keynesian Trade: Understanding the Employment and Welfare Effects of Trade Shocks
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (7)
   Also in Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies. (2020) View citations (13)

2019

10. Going Negative at the Zero Lower Bound: The Effects of Negative Nominal Interest Rates
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article Going Negative at the Zero Lower Bound: The Effects of Negative Nominal Interest Rates, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2021) View citations (72) (2021)
11. Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (18)
    See also Journal Article Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures, AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association (2019) View citations (18) (2019)

2018

12. The Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output
    Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley View citations (40)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2017) View citations (70)
    See also Journal Article The Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (2018) View citations (68) (2018)

2017

13. Secular Stagnation: Policy Options and the Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output
    Working Papers, National Bank of Ukraine View citations (21)

Journal Articles

2025

1. Labor market effects of global supply chain disruptions
   Journal of Monetary Economics, 2025, 149, (C)
   See also Working Paper Labor market effects of global supply chain disruptions, CEP Discussion Papers (2025) (2025)

2023

2. Supply Chain Disruptions, Trade Costs, and Labor Markets
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2023, 2023, (02), 5 View citations (1)

2021

3. Alternative Models of Interest Rate Pass-Through in Normal and Negative Territory
   International Journal of Central Banking, 2021, 17, (1), 3-34 View citations (10)
   See also Working Paper Alternative Models of Interest Rate Pass-Through in Normal and Negative Territory, Working Paper Series (2020) View citations (3) (2020)
4. Going Negative at the Zero Lower Bound: The Effects of Negative Nominal Interest Rates
   American Economic Review, 2021, 111, (1), 1-40 View citations (72)
   See also Working Paper Going Negative at the Zero Lower Bound: The Effects of Negative Nominal Interest Rates, Working Paper Series (2019) View citations (13) (2019)
5. How Do Low and Negative Interest Rates Affect Banks?
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2021, 2021, (23), 01-05

2019

6. Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures
   AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2019, 109, 465-69 View citations (18)
   See also Working Paper Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures, NBER Working Papers (2019) View citations (18) (2019)

2018

7. The Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output
   Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2018, 49, (2 (Fall)), 343-441 View citations (68)
   See also Working Paper The Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output, Department of Economics, Working Paper Series (2018) View citations (40) (2018)