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Influence Campaigns

Evan Sadler

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2023, vol. 15, issue 3, 271-304

Abstract: Firms and politicians, among others, invest heavily to influence people's opinions. Because peers influence one another, these efforts must account for social networks. Using a model of opinion dynamics with a non-degenerate steady state, I develop a new measure of influence, and I highlight how opinion fluctuations impact influence campaigns. If agents interact less frequently with those holding different opinions, the variance of public opinion decreases. Consequently, a risk-averse planner focuses on persuading a large majority of agents in a small set of tightly knit groups, while a risk-loving planner makes much broader appeals.

JEL-codes: D11 D72 D83 D85 Z13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1257/mic.20210387

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