Political Instability and Firm Performance in the Democratic Republic of Congo

Benjamin Kanze Muhoza and Socrates Kraido Majune

Working Papers from African Economic Research Consortium

Abstract: This study analyses the effect of political instability on firm performance in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), one of the most unstable countries in sub-Saharan Africa. We use pooled panel data for three waves of the World Bank Enterprise Survey of the DRC (2006, 2010, and 2013) to analyse the effect of political instability on five measures of performance: employee growth, sales growth, productivity, investment, and export status. Results from the endogenous switching model reveal that political instability adversely affects firm performance in the DRC. In the presence of political instability, employee POLICY BRIEF Political Instability and Firm Performance in the Democratic Republic of Congo Benjamin Kanze Muhoza and Socrates Kraido Majune October 2023 / No.786 2 Policy Brief No.786 growth, sales growth, productivity, and investment growth significantly decline. Conversely, firms that do not experience political instability grow in terms of employee growth, sales growth, productivity, investment, and exporting activities. Our results are robust when we proxy political instability with losses due to theft, robbery, and vandalism. For purposes of policy, we recommend that political stability should be enhanced through political goodwill and legislation that advocates for peace. Firms can also push for this agenda through their business associations and platforms such as public-private partnerships that link them to the government.

Date: 2024-04-10
Note: African Economic Research Consortium
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