Implications of Uncertainty in Yields and Exports

Theo F. Moriak

No 283666, 1977 AAEA-WAEA Joint Meeting, July 31-August 3, San Diego, California from American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)

Abstract: A prototype procedure is presented for developing subjective, probabilistic evaluations for future uncertainties about commodity yield and export expectations. The subjective uncertainty information is incorporated into a large multi commodity systems model in order to estimate future commodity price uncertainties that are useful for public policy and program decisions in agriculture.

Keywords: Risk; and; Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 13
Date: 1977-07
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:aaea77:283666

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.283666

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