An Econometric Model of Hedging, Speculation and Volume in Commodity Futures

Ronald W. Ward and Robert M. Behr

No 279401, 1981 Annual Meeting, July 26-29, Clemson, South Carolina from American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)

Abstract: Futures markets exist to meet the needs of commercial trade having forward commodity dealings. The dynamics of commodity markets lead to continual changes in forward pricing needs as well as price risk. Market structures change and markets often deviate from the competitive model. Much of the variability in the use of futures. markets can be traced not only to the basic characteristics of each commodity but also to many of the structural related characteristics of the markets. In the following analysis, an econometric model incorporating many of these characteristics is developed to partially explain changes in hedging, speculation and volume activity.

Keywords: Marketing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 12
Date: 1981-07
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:aaea81:279401

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.279401

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