RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS IN THE AUSTRALIAN WOOL INDUSTRY

Brian S. Fisher

Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1983, vol. 27, issue 3, 9

Abstract: The process by which producers form expectations has implications for model building and policy analysis. An econometric model of the Australian wool market is estimated. It is shown that the rational expectations hypothesis is not inconsistent with the data for both the period before the floor price scheme was implemented and since that date. This finding has important implications, since it has been shown that the welfare gains from stabilisation are small if producers form rational expectations.

Keywords: Demand and Price Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1983
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:ajaeau:22742

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.22742

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