Long-run Effects on China of APEC Trade Liberalisation

Philip D. Adams, Mark Horridge, Brian R. Parmenter and Xiao-Guang Zhang

No 266389, Center of Policy Studies (COPS) Impact Project Papers from Monash University Center of Policy Studies

Abstract: Plans for APEC trade liberalisation include the elimination of all tariffs between member states. In this paper we use two computable general equilibrium models to examine the effects of these plans, focussing on China. Our modelling shows that liberalisation increases China's capital stock and real GDP. The implication for Chinese industries depend on the extent to which liberalisation exposes them to additional import competition. Industries strongly stimulated include Textiles and Communications Equipment. Transport Equipment is the most adversely affected. Chinese regional results follow from the industrial compositions of the regions, with Zhejiang the most favourably affected and Jilin the least.

Keywords: International; Relations/Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 45
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:copspp:266389

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.266389

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