L'instabilité imprévisible ou les nouvelles conditions d'une politique agricole

Joseph Klatzmann

Économie rurale, 1975, vol. 108

Abstract: Unpredictable instability or the conditions for an agricultural policy - In farming, as in all other fields, forecasts are often proved wrong and important events are often unforeseen. This is not very surprising if one thinks that even the present itself is not very weU known. Inaccurate and all-embracing statistics do not enable present reality to be analysed deeply enough. And that is only one of the many reasons for the difficulties involved in exploring the future. But with a little thought, one is tempted to say that the unforeseeable does not exist. Although no-one can say with certainty what is going to happen, a complete analysis, taking the different elements of problems into account, should enable the event that takes everyone by surprise (eg. Soviet purchase of wheat in 1972) to be considered as a possibility. Even if the exploration of «r possible futures » has not the same value as a « forecast », it can be very useful. Whatever the methods used, the main thing is to set up teams that are not only interdepartmental but that are composed of all the schools of thought in each field.

Keywords: Agricultural; and; Food; Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1975
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/350903/files/e ... 5_num_108_1_2372.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:ersfer:350903

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.350903

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Économie rurale from French Society of Rural Economics (SFER Société Française d'Economie Rurale) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by AgEcon Search ().