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Beef Supply Response Under Uncertainty: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model

Msafiri Daudi Mbaga and Barry T. Coyle

Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2003, vol. 28, issue 3, 21

Abstract: This is the first econometric study of dynamic beef supply response to incorporate risk aversion or, more specifically, price variance. Autoregressive distributed lag (ADL) models are estimated for cow-calf and feedlot operations using aggregate data for Alberta. In all cases, output price variance has a negative impact on output supply and investment. Moreover, the impacts of expected price on supply response are greater in magnitude and significance than in risk-neutral models.

Keywords: Agribusiness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:jlaare:31068

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.31068

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