Analyzing Crop Choice Adaptation to Climate Change Using a Korean Regional PMP Model

Ohsang Kwon

Journal of Rural Development/Nongchon-Gyeongje, 2016, vol. 39, issue 2

Abstract: Our study analyzes producer’s crop choice adaptation responses to climate change using the data of Jeju Island, Korea. A regional level positive mathematical programming model is used for the analysis, where prices as well as outputs are endogenously determined. The impacts of forecasted temperature increase on production costs are incorporated, based on the IPCC scenarios. Our simulation results show that the planted areas of newly introduced tropical fruits such as mango, guava and pitaya will be raised substantially due to temperature change. Moreover, production of high-valued energy intensive greenhouse tangerines will also increase. Because of the responses to climate change total regional agricultural profit of Jeju Island may increase by about 20 percent in 2040. Our paper provides a case study where climate change results in potentially positive economic impacts.

Keywords: Environmental; Economics; and; Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:jordng:330688

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.330688

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