Extraordinary Monetary Policy Effects on Commodity Prices

AitbekAmatov, and Jeffrey H. Dorfman

No 285830, 2015 Conference, April 20-21, 2015, St. Louis, Missouri from NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management

Abstract: In the aftermath of the Great Recession, commodity prices have stabilized; however, the reasons are debatable. This paper concentrates on finding the relationship between Federal Reserve monetary policy and other macroeconomic indicators to both a broad commodity price index and an agricultural commodity price index by employing a vector error correction model. Excessive liquidity and the recent long period of ultra-low interest rates appear to have played a statistically significant role in affecting prices in the commodities markets. The responses of commodity prices to monetary policy that we estimate generally conform to earlier findings, but the sensitivity of the responses appears different in the face of the unprecedented scope of recent Fed activism.

Keywords: Marketing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-04
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:n13415:285830

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.285830

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