FORECASTING AID TO FAMILIES WITH DEPENDENT CHILDREN CASELOADS AND PAYMENTS IN DELAWARE

Richard F. Bieker

Journal of the Northeastern Agricultural Economics Council, 1979, vol. 08, issue 01, 4

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to present a model which was developed to forecast Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) caseloads and payments in Delaware. The model consists of a caseload equation. a payments equation. and three labor market equations. The model. which was fitted statistically using quarterly data for the period 1958-1976, forecasts significantly better than trend type models. In addition , the model, unlike trend type models has the potential for forecasting turning points and can be used to simulate the impact of proposed policy changes.

Keywords: Consumer/Household Economics; Public Economics; Risk and Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1979
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/159292/files/Forecasting%20aid.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:nareaj:159292

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.159292

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Journal of the Northeastern Agricultural Economics Council from Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by AgEcon Search ().