Transportation Model Validation Using Extreme-World Method Scenario Construction

Heather Shar, Paul Componation, Michael Anderson and Alisha Youngblood

Journal of the Transportation Research Forum, 2009, vol. 48, issue 01

Abstract: The Alabama Transportation Infrastructure Model (ATIM) is a discrete event simulation of major transportation routes. The model is currently being validated; however, due to limited data and projected changes in traffic patterns, common validation methods (comparison to real-world figures and utilizing historical data to forecast future trends) are impractical. Therefore, an alternative validation approach was developed, using a scenario planning technique known as extreme-world view that allows model developers to test a wider range of model inputs than using limited current or historical data. The model’s response to a range of scenarios indicates it tracks expected real-world performance well.

Keywords: Public; Economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:ndjtrf:206988

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.206988

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