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Keeping track of agricultural TFP growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Is there light at the end of the tunnel?

Alejandro Nin Pratt

No 331621, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: This paper revisits TFP growth in Sub­Saharan Africa (SSA) during 1971­2003 and analyzes the recent evolution and performance of different sub­regions and individual countries. Agriculture TFP growth is determined by the estimation of a Malmquist index. Our estimates show that there is a clear improvement in the performance of the agricultural sector in Sub­Saharan Africa starting in 1993, improvement that has been sustained for 10 years. This growth is explained mainly by an increase in efficiency, which can be interpreted as catching up that the region is doing after 20 years of poor performance and decreased efficiency. The fact that most countries are recovering from periods of negative growth and only catching up to TFP levels they had in the late 1960s and early 1970s, and that technical change has been slow are warning signs that indicate that growth will need to be extended to technical change to make TFP growth sustainable in the long run.

Keywords: Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Agricultural and Food Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 25
Date: 2007
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