Economic loss to the Brazilian regions due to the Doha Round failure: an investigation using bound tariffs

Matheus Wemerson Gomes Pereira, Erly Cardoso Teixeira and Angelo Gurgel

No 331948, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: The objective of this paper is to determine the probable losses to the Brazilian regions due to the Doha round of negotiations failure. A model for the General Equilibrium Analysis Project for the Brazilian Economy (PAEG) is built following the GTAPinGAMS structure and syntax. The PAEG model is multiregional at a global level as well as at the Brazilian level. PAEG database is constructed using input-output matrix for 5 Brazilian regions connected to the GTAP database version 7. It is simulated the Doha Round requirement for agricultural production and exports subsidies reduction. Also, this scenario includes reduction on bound import tariffs. All regions considered in the current aggregation lose gains in economic growth and welfare due to the Doha Round failure. The Midwest is the Brazilian region that loses the most in terms of economic growth while the South region presents the highest welfare loss. While agriculture is highly competitive in all Brazilian regions, the manufacture sector is not. Thus the Doha Round failure allows an additional period of time to implement public policies and private management strategies to guarantee competitiveness to the manufacture sector in the case the new Doha Round agreement is signed.

Keywords: International Relations/Trade; Agribusiness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 27
Date: 2010
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/331948/files/4886.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:pugtwp:331948

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by AgEcon Search ().