Foreign Currency Debt and Exchange Rate Regimes in the Prospective Monetary Union of the ECOWAS Countries

Lacina Balma

No 332489, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: Corporates in developing countries often issue foreign currency denominated debt. Liability dollarization carries additional risks since large devaluation of the real exchange rate can suddenly raise default probabilities. We use a small open economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with the “balance sheet channel” similar to Bernanke et al (1999) explicitly modeled to study the implications of liability dollarization for the conduct of monetary policy. Bayesian estimation methods are employed and the model is estimated for the Economic Community of the West African States (ECOWAS). We find that a floating regime offers greater stability than a hard peg. Results are robust to different model parameters, except for the degree of openness, highlighting the role of demand-switching effects.

Keywords: Research Methods/Statistical Methods; Financial Economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 44
Date: 2014
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332489

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