Demographic Changes and its Impacts on Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Brazil: a computable general equilibrium model approach

Terciane Sabadini Carvalho, Flaviane Santiago and Fernando Perobelli

No 332970, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: In recent years, the debate on issues related to demographic changes and their impacts on the economy has increased. However, demographic changes affect not only variables such as economic growth and the labor market, but also aggregate consumption, and especially the composition of this consumption. These changes in population composition may occur in the coming decades in many parts of the globe, and their effects on the composition of consumption, notably on energy demand and emissions are not yet known. In this context, this article aims to estimate the changes in the pattern of consumption in Brazil due to the changes projected in the age pyramid in 2050 and the consequences of these changes on CO2 emissions. For this, projections will be made using a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model (CGE) considering 65 sectors and 7 age groups for the Brazilian economy. The results suggest that the change in age structure seem to lead to an emissions less intensive consumption pattern, around 0.25% (accumulated deviation relative to baseline) in 2050.

Keywords: Environmental; Economics; and; Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332970/files/8948.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332970

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by AgEcon Search ().