Estimating Economic Impacts of the U.S.-South Korea Free Trade Agreement

Dan Wei, Zhenhua Chen and Adam Rose

No 333011, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: We analyze the economic impacts of the United States-South Korea Free Trade Agreement by applying the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) computable general equilibrium model to highly disaggregated commodity flow data. The analysis calculates the impacts in terms of welfare effects, national economic indicators (such as GDP), and business performance metrics (such as profits or sales revenue), which can be used by a variety of decision-makers. Our results suggest several trade-offs among these measures. Positive welfare gains between the US and South Korea are about the same in absolute terms, but favor the latter in relative terms, and very heavily so for GDP gains. Moreover, the US is projected to incur a loss of gross output (sales revenue) in several major manufacturing sectors that are heavily concentrated in geographic areas that have been promised a return of jobs by the new Administration. Keywords: Free Trade Agreement; United States; South Korea; Tariff Barriers; Computable General Equilibrium Modeling; GTAP

Keywords: International; Relations/Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:pugtwp:333011

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