IMPACTOS DA AREA DE LIVRE COMERCIO DAS AMÉRICAS (ALCA), COM GRADUAL DESGRAVACAO TARIFÁRIA, SOBRE A ECONOMIA BRASILEIRA

Erly Cardoso Teixeira and Edson Zambon Monte

No 142601, 44th Congress, July 23-27, 2006, Fortaleza, Ceará, Brazil from Sociedade Brasileira de Economia, Administracao e Sociologia Rural (SOBER)

Abstract: As barreiras comerciais protegem as economias da concorrência internacional, mas distorcem as relações comerciais entre elas, e reduzem os benefícios que poderiam advir dos acordos de livre comércio. O objetivo deste trabalho é avaliar os impactos da criação da ALCA, com desgravação tarifaria gradual, sobre os principais indicadores da economia brasileira. O modelo GTAP é adotado como instrumento metodológico. Somente alguns setores do agronegócio mostraram-se competitivos. O setor de manufaturados não foi competitivo em nenhum dos cenários. Setores como florestais, têxteis e calçados tiveram aumento significativo de produção e exportação. Os indicadores de crescimento econômico e bem-estar foram favoráveis ao Brasil em todos os cenários, mesmo que o crescimento tenha sido pequeno. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Trade barriers protect economies from international competition, but distort trade relations between them, and reducing the benefits that could result from free trade agreements. The objective of this study is to assess the impacts of the creation of FTAA, with gradual tariff elimination on the main economic indicators Brazilian. The GTAP model is adopted as a methodological tool. only some agribusiness sectors proved to be competitive. The manufacturing sector was not competitive in any of the scenarios. Sectors like forestry, textiles and footwear had significant increase in production and export. Indicators of economic growth and welfare were favorable to Brazil in all scenarios, even if growth has been small.

Keywords: International Relations/Trade; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Research Methods/Statistical Methods (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 16
Date: 2006
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:sobr06:142601

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.142601

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