Shelter in Uncertainty: Evaluating Gold and Bitcoin as Safe Havens Against G7 Stock Market Indices During Global Crises

Yasmine Snene Manzli and Ahmed Jeribi
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Yasmine Snene Manzli: Faculty of Economics and Management of Sfax
Ahmed Jeribi: Faculty of Economics and Management of Mahdia

Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), 2024, vol. 71, issue 3, 417 - 447

Abstract: This paper investigates the hedging and safe haven capacity of gold and Bitcoin against the G7 stock market indices during the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine military conflict, and the Silicon Valley Bank collapse. Using a novel Quantile-VAR connectedness approach, the results show that, at the median quantile, both gold and Bitcoin act as effective hedges during normal market conditions and strong safe-haven assets during the three crises. Gold emerges as the most prominent safe haven asset, outperforming Bitcoin, especially during the war and the SVB collapse. Among the G7 stock market indices, the Japanese and the American stocks may be used as risk diversifiers during crises. As for the rest of the G7 stocks, they are regarded as “risk-on†investments. Next, we assessed the robustness of our results at various quantiles. We found them to be generally consistent with the outcomes obtained at the median quantile, with one exception related to the S&P500.The results show that the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic and the war are much stronger than the American banking crisis.

Keywords: COVID-19 health crisis; Russia-Ukraine war; SVB collapse; safe haven assets; G7 stock market indices; Quantile-VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aic:saebjn:v:71:y:2024:i:3:p:417-447:n:2

DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2024-0011

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