Reconciling mean-variance portfolio theory with non-Gaussian returns
Nathan Lassance
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Nathan Lassance: Université catholique de Louvain, LIDAM/LFIN, Belgium
No 2021013, LIDAM Reprints LFIN from Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN)
Abstract:
Mean-variance portfolio theory remains frequently used as an investment rationale because of its simplicity, its closed-form solution, and the availability of well-performing robust estimators. At the same time, it is also frequently rejected on the grounds that it ignores the higher moments of non-Gaussian returns. However, higher-moment portfolios are associated with many different objective functions, are numerically more complex, and exacerbate estimation risk. In this paper, we reconcile mean-variance portfolio theory with non-Gaussian returns by identifying, among all portfolios on the mean-variance efficient frontier, the one that optimizes a chosen higher-moment criterion. Numerical simulations and an empirical analysis show, for three higher-moment objective functions and adjusting for transaction costs, that the proposed portfolio strikes a favorable tradeoff between specification and estimation error. Specifically, in terms of out-of-sample Sharpe ratio and higher moments, it outperforms the global-optimal portfolio, and also the global-minimum-variance portfolio except when using monthly returns for which estimation error is more prominent.
Keywords: Finance; mean-variance portfolio; higher moments; estimation risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36
Date: 2021-06-01
Note: In: European Journal of Operational Research
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ajf:louvlr:2021013
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