Diverting domestic turmoil

Ashani Amarasinghe

No 2021-03, SoDa Laboratories Working Paper Series from Monash University

Abstract: When faced with intense domestic turmoil, governments may strategically engage in foreign interactions to divert the public's attention away from pressing domestic issues. I test this hypothesis for a globally representative sample of 190 countries, at the monthly level, over the years 1997-2014. Using textual data on media-reported events retrieved from the GDELT database, I find robust evidence that governments resort to diversionary tactics in times of domestic turmoil and that such diversion takes the form of verbally aggressive foreign interactions, typically targeted at `weak' countries and countries closely linked along religious, linguistic and geographic dimensions. Strategically important trade partners are unlikely to be victimized. These findings suggest that diversionary foreign policy is, in fact, systematically practised by governments as a strategic tool, and that such diversion is exercised in a manner that may not lead to large scale costs or risks of retaliation.

Keywords: Diversionary foreign policy; domestic turmoil; football; connectivity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F51 H77 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-02-01
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://papertool-v2-storage.s3.amazonaws.com/RePEc/ajr/sodwps/2021-03.pdf Full-text (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Diverting domestic turmoil (2022)
Working Paper: Diverting Domestic Turmoil (2020)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ajr:sodwps:2021-03

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in SoDa Laboratories Working Paper Series from Monash University
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Simon Angus ().