Echoes of Terrorism: Examining the Effects of Siren Alerts Timing on Voter Preferences in Israel

Luiz Bines (), Juliano Assunção () and Ricardo Dahis
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Luiz Bines: PUC-Rio
Juliano Assunção: PUC-Rio

No 2024-04, SoDa Laboratories Working Paper Series from Monash University, SoDa Laboratories

Abstract: This study investigates the effects of "Red Alerts", siren warnings of rocket threats, on voting behavior in Israel, focusing on the Likud party during the 2013 and 2015 elections. Using a novel dataset on Red Alert timing and location, we apply a difference-in-differences approach to compare voting patterns in areas newly exposed to Gaza's rocket range in 2014. Our analysis shows that Red Alerts on the days immediately before the election boosted Likud’s vote share by 2.5 p.p., or 15% of the average, while earlier alerts had no significant effect, highlighting the impact of threat salience on electoral outcomes. This research advances our understanding of how security threats influence political behavior.

Keywords: terrorism; salience (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm and nep-pol
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Working Paper: Echoes of Terrorism: Examining the Effects of Siren Alerts Timing on Voter Preferences in Israel (2024)
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