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PUNTOS DE GIRO EN LA ECONOMÍA ARGENTINA

Cristian Rabanal ()
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Cristian Rabanal: Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Universidad Nacional de Villa Mercedes.

Revista de Economía Política de Buenos Aires, 2017, issue 16, 159-185

Abstract: The goal of this paper is to identify the turning points in Argentina Republic. The period is 1900-2011 for annual dates and 1980:q1-2012:q2 for quarterly dates. The paper provides the latest pivot points and those that allow considering a long term perspective. The methods used are: analysis of quarterly growth rates of GDP, nonparametric algorithms like Bry-Boschan and Harding-Pagan, and finally a parametric Markov switching model.

Keywords: Bry-Boschan procedure; Harding-Pagan Algorithm; Markov Switching Model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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