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La ventaja del oficialismo en las elecciones municipales de la Provincia de Buenos Aires

Matías Battocchio
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Matías Battocchio: UBA y UNLP

Económica, 2018, vol. 64, 133-171

Abstract: This paper tests for an incumbency advantage in the municipal mayoral elections in the province of Buenos Aires between 1983 and 2015 by making use of a regression discontinuity design, for the two major parties: the Partido Justicialista and the Union Civica Radical. The results suggest that the UCR enjoyed an incumbency advantage in the order of a 20 percentage point increase in the probability of winning the next election, while for the PJ this estimate is smaller and non statistically significant.

Keywords: Incumbency advantage; Regression discontinuity design; Buenos Aires politics. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 D72 P16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:akh:journl:617

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