Interrelation of Real Currency Rate and Economic Position of the World Countries

Averin Gennadiy Viktorovich*, Zviagintseva Anna Viktorovna, Pozdnyayev Andrey Sergeevich and Shvetsova Angela Alexandrovna
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Averin Gennadiy Viktorovich*: The National Research University “Belgorod State University†(BelSU), Belgorod Doctor of Engineering Science, Professor, Head of a Department of General Math, Russia
Zviagintseva Anna Viktorovna: The National Research University “Belgorod State University†(BelSU), Belgorod Candidate of Engineering Sciences, docent, docent of Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Modeling, Russia
Pozdnyayev Andrey Sergeevich: The Bauman Moscow State Technical University, Moscow Doctor of Economics, Head of the Department of Management of Scientific and Innovative Activities, Russia
Shvetsova Angela Alexandrovna: The National Research University “Belgorod State University†(BelSU), Belgorod, Russia

The Journal of Social Sciences Research, 2019, vol. 5, issue 12, 1861-1868

Abstract: Evaluation of real exchange rate of countries is an urgent task, as it is a key macroeconomic indicator characterizing the competitiveness of national goods in the world markets. An analysis of the relationship between the value of currencies and the position of the world countries in the field of economics and energy was carried out using an event valuation, which is one of the methods for the intellectual analysis of multidimensional data. A distinctive feature of this approach is the study of the relationship between the probabilities of simple and joint events of observing the values of statistical indicators of socio-economic objects. At the same time, the average statistical development trends of the studied sectors of the world economy are taken into account. In the process of research it was established that at present there are vast groups of countries for which the real value of national currencies is both overestimated and underestimated against the background of the contribution of these countries to the global economy. There is a tendency when, for many economically developed countries, the value of national currencies is overestimated. An example of a comprehensive assessment of Russia’s position in the field of economics and energy shows the process of assessing the real value of the ruble. The event estimation method can be used in the analysis of the features and patterns of development processes both in the countries of the world and in other socio-economic objects, for example, regions, cities or enterprises.

Keywords: Event assessment; The world countries; Economic and energy indicators; Real value of national currencies; Interrelation of indicators. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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