Are Real Estate Cycle Lengths and Magnitudes Changing?

Glenn Mueller and Andrew Mueller

ERES from European Real Estate Society (ERES)

Abstract: Real Estate has been shown to be a cyclical asset class over the years thathas mostly followed economic cycles. This paper looks at the physical realestate cycle of demand and supply driving the occupancy cycle which drivesthe rent cycle. The length of historic cycles is compared and contrasted tothe magnitude of these cycles in different property types. This informationis then used to forecast future cycle lengths and magnitudes. Finally thereal estate financial cycle of property prices is compared to the physicalcycle as the two cycles determine total returns for investors.

JEL-codes: R3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-01-01
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2016_346

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