Managing the bias variance trade-off in regional house price indices
Fabrice Kreuzbichler,
Wolfgang Brunauer,
Karin Wagner and
Ronald Weberndorfer
ERES from European Real Estate Society (ERES)
Abstract:
The Austrian Central Bank (OeNB) has been publishing the Austrian residential property price index for many years now. Several years ago, there has been a change in the underlying methodology, from the “dummy method” to a “double imputation method”. While with the former approach, the regionalization of the index had been bound to the model regions (as it is derived from an evaluation of model parameters), the new methodology allows for arbitrary granularization. Now we explore methods for regionalization, and their impact on the bias-variance trade-off. Furthermore, we investigate the possible impact on the construction of early warning systems for the Austrian housing markets, which can in turn be used for systemic risk analyses.
Keywords: Bias variance trade-off; Double Imputation; Price Index; regionalization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-01-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ure
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2024-174
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