The effect of shadow economy on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in emerging market economies 1988-2018

Aghni Majida Martakusuma () and Wahyu Widodo ()

Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, 2024, vol. 12, issue 3, 176-189

Abstract: This paper aims to examine the effect of shadow economy on foreign direct investment (FDI) in emerging market economies (EMEs) starting from 1988 to 2018. The error-correction model (ECM) is applied to estimate the dynamic panel data in the short run model, and for the long run model, this study applied ordinary panel data approach to both the fixed effect model (FEM) and the random effect model (REM). This study considers the global financial crisis of 1998 by dividing the estimation into three periods, i.e., pre-crisis, post-crisis, and all periods. The results show that shadow economy had a significantly negative effect on FDI inward both in the long run and the short run during the pre-crisis period, while economic growth, trade openness, policy rate, population, and infrastructure had various significant effects on FDI inward. The long-run estimation revealed that economic growth, policy rate, inflation, and the human development index (HDI) were all significant factors. Only the exchange rate, as one of efficiency-seeking motives and macroeconomic factors, has a significant role in FDI in EMEs. This analysis suggests that policymakers need to consider shadow economy along with investor motives and macroeconomic variables to provide more FDI, while investors need to consider the country’s advantages that could potentially provide a rate on return on investment.

Keywords: Economic growth; Efficiency-seeking motives; Emerging economies; Foreign direct investment; Investor motives; Policy rate; Shadow economy. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://archive.aessweb.com/index.php/5009/article/view/5159/8034 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:asi:ajemod:v:12:y:2024:i:3:p:176-189:id:5159

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Asian Journal of Economic Modelling from Asian Economic and Social Society
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Robert Allen ().