FORECASTING SEASONAL TIME SERIES WITH CALOT MODEL

Calcedonia Enache ()
Additional contact information
Calcedonia Enache: The Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania

Internal Auditing and Risk Management, 2015, vol. 38, issue 1, 155-162

Abstract: Activities with a variation trend depending on the change of seasons are frequent in agriculture. For such phenomena it is not enough just to analyze the annual change trend, the cyclical fluctuations which occur from one quarter to another or from one month to another must also be taken into account. In this context, the present paper proposes that by using statistical and econometric techniques to reveal regularities in the evolution of the agricultural monthly average income per household, the extrapolation of the investigated variable being based on it.

Keywords: Calot model; autocorrelation function; income from agriculture; seasonal time series; forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://aimr.univath.ro/download/1023_aimr_38_161_168.pdf (application/pdf)
http://aimr.univath.ro/en/article/FORECASTING-SEAS ... ALOT-MODEL~1023.html (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ath:journl:v:38:y:2015:i:1:p:155-162

Access Statistics for this article

Internal Auditing and Risk Management is currently edited by Emilia Vasile

More articles in Internal Auditing and Risk Management from Athenaeum University of Bucharest Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Cosmin Catalin Olteanu and Emilia Vasile ().