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Innovative Slowdown, Productivity Reversal? - Estimating the Impact of R&D on Technological Change

Günter Lang ()

No 218, Discussion Paper Series from Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics

Abstract: Motivated by the recent reversal in labor productivity growth, this paper is analyzing the relationship between R&D expenditures and productivity. Time series data of the German manufacturing industry is used to estimate a variable cost function, with the stock of knowledge being modeled as a quasifix input. The estimates show that the extracted yield is non-constant over the observation period. Current rates of return on own R&D are found to be significantly lower than during the sixties, and no signs of a significant reversal are detected. The long-term elasticity of production costs with respect to R&D reduced from –0.04 to just -0.02, the elasticity of labor demand from –0.40 to -0.15. Since the growth rates of research expenditures were also declining, the contribution of R&D to productivity growth is currently stagnating at the lowest level since 1960.

Keywords: technology; innovation; research and development; productivity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D24 O31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev and nep-ino
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aug:augsbe:0218

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